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CRB backgame series #2 -- cube

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Wednesday, 25 April 2012, at 12:07 p.m.

In Response To: CRB backgame series #2 (Chuck Bower)

Maybe stronger settings would turn this around. I have limited CPU-time and felt other situations in this game deserved the bulk of it. Of course anyone who has the CPU-time is welcome to pound this one (or any other) with a bigger hammer.





White is Player 2

score: 3
pip: 196
7 point match
pip: 187
score: 3

Blue is Player 1
XGID=aaaaABC-B---dB---d-cA-AAB-:0:0:1:00:3:3:0:7:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 60.842% (G:25.463% B:4.204%) 60.380% (G:26.593% B:7.351%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 39.158% (G:8.957% B:0.699%) 39.620% (G:9.895% B:1.171%)
Cubeless Equities +0.5127 +1.2636
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.7108±0.0327 (+0.6782..+0.7435)
xg Double/Take:+0.6596 (-0.0512)±0.0504 (+0.6093..+0.7100)
Double/Pass:+1.0000 (+0.2892)
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 13.1%
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 31146858
Moves: 2-ply, cube decisions: 3-ply Red
Double Decision confidence:95.3%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 7 minutes 14 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2

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