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CRB backgame series #5 -- rollout

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Friday, 27 April 2012, at 4:21 p.m.

In Response To: CRB backgame series #5 (Chuck Bower)

Top two candidates take different approaches but are quite close in equity.





White is superdavek

score: 3
pip: 178
7 point match
pip: 194
score: 3

Blue is CRay
XGID=-b-aBBBaA---cB---c-bcCBA--:0:0:1:54:3:3:0:7:10
Blue to play 54

1.Rollout123/18 22/18eq: -0.1044
Player:
Opponent:		47.51% (G:13.34% B:1.27%)
52.49% (G:16.17% B:1.30%)		Conf.: ±0.0195 (-0.1239...-0.0849) - [60.1%]
Duration: 2 hours 57 minutes
2.Rollout122/18 8/3* eq: -0.1083 (-0.0039)
Player:
Opponent:		48.33% (G:15.83% B:2.11%)
51.67% (G:19.10% B:2.07%)		Conf.: ±0.0229 (-0.1312...-0.0855) - [39.9%]
Duration: 2 hours 53 minutes
3.XG Roller++21/16 8/4eq: -0.1710 (-0.0666)
Player:
Opponent:		46.41% (G:13.89% B:0.70%)
53.59% (G:16.91% B:0.73%)
4.XG Roller++23/18 8/4eq: -0.2093 (-0.1049)
Player:
Opponent:		45.64% (G:13.44% B:0.61%)
54.36% (G:16.74% B:0.65%)
5.XG Roller++22/13eq: -0.2225 (-0.1181)
Player:
Opponent:		45.88% (G:13.04% B:0.59%)
54.12% (G:17.76% B:0.79%)
6.XG Roller++23/14eq: -0.2793 (-0.1749)
Player:
Opponent:		45.16% (G:12.71% B:0.63%)
54.84% (G:19.78% B:0.85%)
7.XG Roller++13/9 8/3* eq: -0.2869 (-0.1825)
Player:
Opponent:		45.65% (G:15.32% B:1.33%)
54.35% (G:22.51% B:1.17%)
8.XG Roller++13/9 13/8eq: -0.2963 (-0.1919)
Player:
Opponent:		44.44% (G:13.09% B:0.69%)
55.56% (G:19.27% B:0.80%)
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 9888186
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2

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