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BGonline.org Forums
Why is making the 5 point such a bad play?
Posted By: Daniel Murphy In Response To: Why is making the 5 point such a bad play? (Dmitriy Obukhov)
Date: Friday, 4 May 2012, at 2:32 a.m.
I kept moving blue checkers until I found one where 24/20 was analyzed as best in a money game. I had to move a lot of checkers ...
Money game. Blue to play 34
White 138
Blue 112 Position ID: 4OfgBwDZ7VAAIQ Match ID: cIkRAAAAAAAE
# Ply Move Equity • 1 2 24/20 4/1 +0.9085 0.7504 0.1028 0.0002 - 0.2496 0.0149 0.0002 2 2 24/20 10/7 +0.9029 ( -0.0057) 0.7437 0.1003 0.0003 - 0.2563 0.0153 0.0002 3 2 24/20 11/8 +0.9014 ( -0.0071) 0.7419 0.1029 0.0003 - 0.2581 0.0149 0.0002 4 2 20/16 4/1 +0.8444 ( -0.0642) 0.7193 0.2024 0.0011 - 0.2807 0.0222 0.0004 5 2 11/7 4/1 +0.8128 ( -0.0957) 0.7117 0.2132 0.0011 - 0.2883 0.0261 0.0005 6 2 10/6 4/1 +0.8046 ( -0.1039) 0.7087 0.2141 0.0011 - 0.2913 0.0276 0.0005 ... and the position is unlikely. Similarly, but still having the midpoint:
Money game. Blue to play 34
White 138
Blue 117 Position ID: 4OfgBwDZ7YABIQ Match ID: cIkRAAAAAAAE • Blue moves 20/13
# Ply Move Equity • 1 2 20/13 +0.8928 0.7323 0.1729 0.0015 - 0.2677 0.0209 0.0004 2 2 24/20 4/1 +0.8516 ( -0.0412) 0.7299 0.0919 0.0002 - 0.2701 0.0155 0.0003 3 2 24/20 6/3 +0.8435 ( -0.0493) 0.7243 0.1009 0.0003 - 0.2757 0.0188 0.0004 4 2 24/20 5/2 +0.8048 ( -0.0880) 0.7094 0.1047 0.0006 - 0.2906 0.0226 0.0005 5 2 20/16 4/1 +0.7964 ( -0.0964) 0.7038 0.2054 0.0013 - 0.2962 0.0254 0.0005 6 2 6/2 4/1 +0.7680 ( -0.1248) 0.6864 0.2198 0.0022 - 0.3136 0.0357 0.0011
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