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2-ply/3-ply red RO (66 and Blue on Roll)

Posted By: Christian Plenz
Date: Sunday, 20 May 2012, at 1:32 a.m.

In Response To: A stronger RO (Christian Plenz)





White is Player 1

score: 3
pip: 70
5 point match
pip: 104
score: 1

Blue is Player 2
XGID=aAAABDF------aa---accbba--:1:-1:-1:00:3:1:0:5:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 67,65% (G:20,41% B:1,29%) 70,76% (G:14,63% B:1,07%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 32,35% (G:7,72% B:0,49%) 29,24% (G:6,96% B:0,24%)
Cubeless Equities +0,761 +1,830
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+1,059±0,010 (+1,050..+1,069)
Redouble/Take:+1,830 (+0,771)±0,009 (+1,822..+1,839)
Redouble/Pass:+1,000 (-0,059)
Best Cube action: Too good to redouble / Pass
Percentage of wrong take needed to make the double decision right: 7,2%
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 2-ply, cube decisions: 3-ply Red
Double Decision confidence:100,0%
Take Decision confidence:100,0%
Duration: 1 minute 14 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.02, MET: Kazaross XG2

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