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Rollout surprise - MG RO

Posted By: Daniel Murphy
Date: Monday, 4 June 2012, at 10:23 p.m.

In Response To: Rollout surprise (Klaus Evers)

Unlimited match. Blue to play 42

White	93
Blue	16
Position ID: 27YRQCCOAQAAAA Match ID: UQkKAAAAAAAE

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		+1.5167
	0.9049 0.6552 0.0518 - 0.0951 0.0000 0.0000
Cubeful equities:
1.	No double	+1.5897
2.	Double, take	+2.9694	+1.3797
3.	Double, pass	+1.0000	-0.5897
Proper cube action:		Too good to redouble, pass (29.9%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	R	5/3 5/1*	+0.8728
			0.6940 0.4047 0.0019 - 0.3060 0.0000 0.0000 +0.7945 +0.8728 0.0006 0.0001 0.0000 - 0.0006 0.0000 0.0000 0.0012 0.0014
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			15552 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 921110844 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	R	5/1* 2/off	+0.8615 ( -0.0113)
			0.6905 0.3690 0.0067 - 0.3095 0.0000 0.0000 +0.7567 +0.8615 0.0007 0.0001 0.0000 - 0.0007 0.0000 0.0000 0.0013 0.0019
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			15552 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 921110844 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Next two -- a single hit on the ace point:

White	94
Blue	10
Position ID: XQAAwLZtBBAQAA Match ID: EQEHAAAAAAAE

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	R	bar/24* 18/12	+0.2001
			0.6559 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.3441 0.0003 0.0000 +0.3114 +0.2001 0.0014 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.0014 0.0001 0.0000 0.0028 0.0034
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			3888 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 921110844 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

White	94
Blue	10
Position ID: jQAAYNs2AggIAA Match ID: EQEHAAAAAAAE

• White moves bar/24* 18/12

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	R	bar/24* 18/12	+0.2162
			0.6650 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.3350 0.0001 0.0000 +0.3300 +0.2162 0.0012 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.0012 0.0001 0.0000 0.0023 0.0031
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			3888 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 921110844 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• Contact bearoff is not so easy
  Klaus Evers -- Saturday, 2 June 2012, at 2:38 p.m.
  • Contact bearoff is not so easy
    David Rockwell -- Saturday, 2 June 2012, at 3:11 p.m.
  • Contact bearoff is not so easy
    Taper_Mike -- Sunday, 3 June 2012, at 2:26 a.m.
    • Contact bearoff is not so easy
      Daniel Murphy -- Sunday, 3 June 2012, at 4:33 a.m.
  • Contact bearoff is not so easy
    mochy -- Sunday, 3 June 2012, at 10:23 a.m.
  • Rollout surprise
    Klaus Evers -- Monday, 4 June 2012, at 5:19 a.m.
    • Rollout surprise - MG RO
      Daniel Murphy -- Monday, 4 June 2012, at 10:23 p.m.
      • 3-away, 7-away — XGR++ Rollout
        Taper_Mike -- Tuesday, 5 June 2012, at 2:45 a.m.