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Bearoff: 6/2 or 5/1 ? ** Rollouts **

Posted By: Daniel Murphy
Date: Thursday, 21 June 2012, at 4:16 a.m.

In Response To: Bearoff: 6/2 or 5/1 ? (Daniel Murphy)

The score (after 0 games) is: White 0, Blue 0 (match to 1 point, post-Crawford play)

Move number 3: Blue to play 54

White63

2X3X4X2X1X1X ' ' ' ' '2X

 ' '1O '5O4O ' ' ' ' ' '
Blue52
Position ID: u7cCAwDkewAAAA Match ID: cIkyAAAAAAAE

• Blue moves 5/1 5/off

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 5/1 5/off +0.919205
0.9596020.0033330.000000-0.0403980.0000000.000000 +0.919205
0.0000160.0006160.000000-0.0000160.0000000.000000 0.000031
Full cubeless rollout (trunc. at one-sided bearoff) with var.redn.
7777 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 918657765 and quasi-random dice
Play: 3-ply cubeless prune
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
keep the first 0 2-ply moves and up to 4 more moves within equity 0.08
Cube: 3-ply cubeful prune
2 R 6/2 5/off +0.919092 ( -0.000113)
0.9595460.0037390.000000-0.0404540.0000000.000000 +0.919092
0.0000150.0006780.000000-0.0000150.0000000.000000 0.000030
Full cubeless rollout (trunc. at one-sided bearoff) with var.redn.
7776 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 918657765 and quasi-random dice
Play: 3-ply cubeless prune
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
keep the first 0 2-ply moves and up to 4 more moves within equity 0.08
Cube: 3-ply cubeful prune

The score (after 0 games) is: White 0, Blue 0 (match to 1 point, post-Crawford play)

Move number 4: Blue to play 54

White55

2X3X4X2X1X1X '2X ' ' ' '

 ' '1O '5O4O ' ' ' ' ' '
Blue52
Position ID: u7cyAADkewAAAA Match ID: cIkyAAAAAAAE

• Blue moves 6/2 5/off

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 6/2 5/off +0.794645
0.8973220.0000110.000000-0.1026780.0000000.000000 +0.794645
0.0000240.0000120.000000-0.0000240.0000000.000000 0.000047
Full cubeless rollout (trunc. at exact bearoff) with var.redn.
19492 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 918917319 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeless prune
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune
2 R 5/1 5/off +0.794612 ( -0.000032)
0.8973060.0000190.000000-0.1026940.0000000.000000 +0.794612
0.0000230.0000320.000000-0.0000230.0000000.000000 0.000046
Full cubeless rollout (trunc. at exact bearoff) with var.redn.
19491 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 918917319 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeless prune
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune

The score (after 0 games) is: White 0, Blue 0 (match to 1 point, post-Crawford play)

Move number 4: Blue to play 54

White50

2X3X4X2X2X2X ' ' ' ' ' '

 ' '1O '5O4O ' ' ' ' ' '
Blue52
Position ID: u7cNAADkewAAAA Match ID: cIkyAAAAAAAE

• Blue moves 6/2 5/off

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 6/2 5/off +0.532231
0.7661150.0000000.000000-0.2338850.0000000.000000 +0.532231
0.0000360.0000000.000000-0.0000360.0000000.000000 0.000073
Full cubeless rollout (trunc. at exact bearoff) with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 918917319 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeless prune
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune
2 R 5/1 5/off +0.531277 ( -0.000954)
0.7656380.0000000.000000-0.2343620.0000000.000000 +0.531277
0.0000350.0000000.000000-0.0000350.0000000.000000 0.000071
Full cubeless rollout (trunc. at exact bearoff) with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 918917319 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeless prune
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune

The score (after 0 games) is: White 0, Blue 0 (match to 1 point, post-Crawford play)

Move number 4: Blue to play 54

White43

3X3X4X3X2X ' ' ' ' ' ' '

 ' '1O '5O4O ' ' ' ' ' '
Blue52
Position ID: d+8GAADkewAAAA Match ID: cIkyAAAAAAAE

• Blue moves 6/2 5/off

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 6/2 5/off +0.351239
0.6756200.0000000.000000-0.3243800.0000000.000000 +0.351239
0.0000380.0000000.000000-0.0000380.0000000.000000 0.000075
Full cubeless rollout (trunc. at exact bearoff) with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 918917319 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeless prune
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune
2 R 5/1 5/off +0.349140 ( -0.002099)
0.6745700.0000000.000000-0.3254300.0000000.000000 +0.349140
0.0000370.0000000.000000-0.0000370.0000000.000000 0.000075
Full cubeless rollout (trunc. at exact bearoff) with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 918917319 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeless prune
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune

The score (after 0 games) is: White 0, Blue 0 (match to 1 point, post-Crawford play)

Move number 4: Blue to play 54

White34

2X2X2X3X2X ' ' ' ' ' ' '

 ' '1O '5O4O ' ' ' ' ' '
Blue52
Position ID: 224AAEC+BwAAAA Match ID: cIkyAAAAAAAE

• Blue moves 6/2 5/off

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 6/2 5/off -0.581774
0.2091130.0000000.000000-0.7908870.0000000.000000 -0.581774
0.0000530.0000000.000000-0.0000530.0000000.000000 0.000107
Full cubeless rollout (trunc. at exact bearoff) with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 918917319 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeless prune
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune
2 R 5/1 5/off -0.595856 ( -0.014082)
0.2020720.0000000.000000-0.7979280.0000000.000000 -0.595856
0.0000510.0000000.000000-0.0000510.0000000.000000 0.000102
Full cubeless rollout (trunc. at exact bearoff) with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 918917319 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeless prune
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune

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