The Bagaic play wins almost 2% more games and almost 10% more gammons. It seems to be quite costly to allow the opponent to anchor. I've now seen a half dozen of these bearoffs, but still managed to avoid considering the Bagai play OTB. Other scores (sans rollout) below. Only DMP and GS are close:
        
 
          
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 132 | | 7 point match | pip: 55
score: 4
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=aCaDCBC-----b----b-db-ba--:1:-1:1:32:4:0:0:7:10 |
| Blue to play 32 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 5/2* 4/2 | eq: +1.164 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 89.71% (G:67.08% B:1.15%)
10.29% (G:0.71% B:0.03%) | Conf.: ± 0.005 (+1.159...+1.169) - [100.0%]
Duration: 28 minutes 30 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 6/4 3/Off | eq: +1.077 (-0.087) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 87.94% (G:57.31% B:4.47%)
12.06% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | Conf.: ± 0.005 (+1.072...+1.082) - [0.0%]
Duration: 27 minutes 30 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 4/2* 3/Off | eq: +1.013 (-0.150) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 83.56% (G:68.04% B:2.85%)
16.44% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | Conf.: ± 0.005 (+1.008...+1.019) - [0.0%]
Duration: 37 minutes 10 seconds |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2
Money:
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 132 | Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver | pip: 55
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=aCaDCBC-----b----b-db-ba--:1:-1:1:32:0:0:3:0:10 |
| Blue to play 32 |
| 1. | XG Roller++ | 5/2* 4/2 | eq: +1.428 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 89.56% (G:67.53% B:0.49%)
10.44% (G:0.62% B:0.02%) | |
|
| 2. | XG Roller++ | 6/4 3/Off | eq: +1.315 (-0.113) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 88.62% (G:57.08% B:1.21%)
11.38% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | |
|
| 3. | XG Roller++ | 4/2* 3/Off | eq: +1.310 (-0.118) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 84.16% (G:67.40% B:0.99%)
15.84% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | |
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03
DMP:
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 132 | | 1 point match | pip: 55
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=aCaDCBC-----b----b-db-ba--:0:0:1:32:0:0:0:1:10 |
| Blue to play 32 |
| 1. | XG Roller+ | 5/2* 4/2 | eq: +0.800 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 90.02% (G:65.12% B:0.33%)
9.98% (G:0.60% B:0.02%) | |
|
| 2. | XG Roller+ | 6/4 3/Off | eq: +0.764 (-0.036) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 88.22% (G:58.08% B:1.08%)
11.78% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | |
|
| 3. | XG Roller+ | 4/2* 3/Off | eq: +0.689 (-0.112) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 84.43% (G:66.36% B:0.82%)
15.57% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | |
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2
GS:
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 132 | 2 point match
Crawford | pip: 55
score: 1
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=aCaDCBC-----b----b-db-ba--:0:0:1:32:1:0:1:2:10 |
| Blue to play 32 |
| 1. | XG Roller++ | 5/2* 4/2 | eq: +0.786 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 89.86% (G:67.35% B:0.38%)
10.14% (G:0.56% B:0.02%) | |
|
| 2. | XG Roller++ | 6/4 3/Off | eq: +0.762 (-0.024) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 88.09% (G:59.63% B:1.36%)
11.91% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | |
|
| 3. | XG Roller++ | 6/1 | eq: +0.737 (-0.049) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 86.91% (G:54.27% B:0.68%)
13.09% (G:0.05% B:0.00%) | |
|
| 4. | XG Roller++ | 4/2* 3/Off | eq: +0.683 (-0.103) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 84.16% (G:67.06% B:0.92%)
15.84% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | |
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2
GG:
| | White is Player 2
score: 1
pip: 132 | 2 point match
Crawford | pip: 55
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=aCaDCBC-----b----b-db-ba--:0:0:1:32:0:1:1:2:10 |
| Blue to play 32 |
| 1. | XG Roller++ | 5/2* 4/2 | eq: +2.147 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 89.43% (G:67.91% B:0.52%)
10.57% (G:0.65% B:0.02%) | |
|
| 2. | XG Roller++ | 4/2* 3/Off | eq: +2.031 (-0.116) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 84.16% (G:67.38% B:1.01%)
15.84% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | |
|
| 3. | XG Roller++ | 6/4 3/Off | eq: +1.909 (-0.238) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 88.98% (G:56.46% B:1.25%)
11.02% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | |
|
| 4. | XG Roller++ | 6/3 4/2* | eq: +1.907 (-0.239) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 83.54% (G:61.82% B:0.59%)
16.46% (G:1.78% B:0.07%) | |
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2