Leaving for Novi shortly and don't know if I'll have time (or internet connection) so here is the rollout. More QF potential than I like, but an informative problem (which I screwed up OtB, FWIW).
           
 
          
 | | White is Player 2
score: 4
pip: 89 | 5 point match
Crawford | pip: 118
score: 3
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-BAABBC-----b---AbBccc-Ab-:0:0:1:44:3:4:1:5:10 |
| Blue to play 44 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 18/2 | eq: -0.6203 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 16.96% (G:2.03% B:0.07%)
83.04% (G:34.44% B:1.07%) | Conf.: ±0.0020 (-0.6223...-0.6182) - [100.0%]
Duration: 2 hours 46 minutes |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 18/14 18/10 6/2 | eq: -0.6407 (-0.0204) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 16.68% (G:1.29% B:0.04%)
83.32% (G:28.70% B:0.57%) | Conf.: ±0.0020 (-0.6426...-0.6387) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 hours 03 minutes |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 18/10(2) | eq: -0.6664 (-0.0461) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 15.40% (G:1.29% B:0.02%)
84.60% (G:21.85% B:0.27%) | Conf.: ±0.0018 (-0.6682...-0.6645) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 hours 46 minutes |
|
| |
1 1953 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 53594774
Moves and cube decisions: 4-ply
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2