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GG cube decision -- rollout

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Tuesday, 17 July 2012, at 1:11 p.m.

In Response To: GG cube decision (Chuck Bower)

Sometimes waiting 24 hours leads to forgetting to post the rollout. I never even saw the best play here, distracted by other considerations. Lots of things to think about... "Getting off the 24-point (and taking opp's awkward 2-point stack out of range) is the first key," says XG. Another example where the GG score takes a standard-ish (near-Next) play and renders it less than best.





White is Player 2

score: 4
pip: 115
5 point match
Crawford
pip: 96
score: 3

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-bBCBCB-A------bA--dc--dA-:0:0:1:62:3:4:1:5:10
Blue to play 62

1.Rollout124/18 16/14eq: +1.0922
Player:
Opponent:
85.24% (G:19.37% B:1.71%)
14.76% (G:1.62% B:0.04%)
Conf.: ±0.0045 (+1.0877...+1.0967) - [100.0%]
Duration: 8 minutes 55 seconds
2.Rollout124/16eq: +1.0783 (-0.0139)
Player:
Opponent:
86.87% (G:17.04% B:1.05%)
13.13% (G:0.97% B:0.02%)
Conf.: ±0.0041 (+1.0742...+1.0824) - [0.0%]
Duration: 8 minutes 49 seconds
3.Rollout124/18 8/6eq: +1.0671 (-0.0251)
Player:
Opponent:
83.72% (G:19.63% B:2.40%)
16.28% (G:1.44% B:0.02%)
Conf.: ±0.0049 (+1.0622...+1.0719) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 51 seconds
4.Rollout124/22 16/10eq: +1.0601 (-0.0321)
Player:
Opponent:
82.49% (G:20.52% B:2.44%)
17.51% (G:2.11% B:0.15%)
Conf.: ±0.0048 (+1.0554...+1.0649) - [0.0%]
Duration: 7 minutes 29 seconds
5.Rollout124/22 8/2eq: +1.0574 (-0.0348)
Player:
Opponent:
81.34% (G:21.53% B:3.49%)
18.66% (G:1.68% B:0.13%)
Conf.: ±0.0056 (+1.0518...+1.0630) - [0.0%]
Duration: 7 minutes 14 seconds
6.Rollout116/8eq: +1.0146 (-0.0777)
Player:
Opponent:
82.15% (G:18.58% B:2.42%)
17.85% (G:0.94% B:0.03%)
Conf.: ±0.0049 (+1.0097...+1.0194) - [0.0%]
Duration: 7 minutes 13 seconds
7.Rollout116/10 8/6eq: +1.0127 (-0.0795)
Player:
Opponent:
80.99% (G:19.64% B:2.23%)
19.01% (G:1.05% B:0.07%)
Conf.: ±0.0049 (+1.0078...+1.0176) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 52 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 88588632
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2

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