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'Trivial', 'Obvious', 'Next', or "none of the above"

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Sunday, 29 July 2012, at 12:49 a.m.

In Response To: Why is it wrong to slot the barpoint here? (DJansen)

Here's a strong unlimited/$ rollout to take the matchscore out of the equation. Note that the total wins and gammon wins are very close (possibly favoring the slot play). It's only the gammon losses than swing the decision. So the question is better phrased "why don't the wins overpower the g-losses?" I've made some minimal checker relocations to see if we can overturn the decision. I'll post those soon (probably Sunday AM).





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 138
Unlimited Game
pip: 169
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a---BC-C--AcC-b-c-e-B--aA:0:0:1:63:0:0:0:0:10
Blue to play 63

1.Rollout1Bar/16eq: +0.0713
Player:
Opponent:		51.43% (G:13.65% B:0.53%)
48.57% (G:11.27% B:0.32%)		Conf.: ±0.0170 (+0.0543...+0.0884) - [99.1%]
Duration: 6 hours 52 minutes
2.Rollout1Bar/22 13/7eq: +0.0423 (-0.0291)
Player:
Opponent:		51.49% (G:13.93% B:0.50%)
48.51% (G:14.72% B:0.42%)		Conf.: ±0.0167 (+0.0255...+0.0590) - [0.9%]
Duration: 6 hours 06 minutes
1 1008 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 83819114
First 12 moves: 4-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Remaining moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03

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