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4-ply RO

Posted By: Martin
Date: Sunday, 29 July 2012, at 10:26 a.m.

In Response To: Experts disagreed on this one (Martin)

Both moves have their merits IMHO. The danger of the back blot is limited because the opp has not got that much ammunition. OTOH, we can often make the 5 point later and opp has to play a backgame without decent timing. XG says after a 4-ply RO that even AtS it is better to run. I lost a bet and learned something.

is Player 2

score: 6
pip: 169
7 point match
Crawford
pip: 140
score: 5

is Player 1
XGID=-b-bB-C-C-BBbB---aacbbA---:0:0:1:63:5:6:1:7:10
to play 63

1.Rollout122/13eq: +0,736
Player:
Opponent:		72,02% (G:14,78% B:2,06%)
27,98% (G:4,92% B:0,38%)		Conf.: ± 0,003 (+0,733...+0,739) - [100,0%]
Duration: 9 hours 27 minutes
2.Rollout111/5 8/5eq: +0,699 (-0,037)
Player:
Opponent:		61,27% (G:23,66% B:6,26%)
38,73% (G:11,52% B:1,69%)		Conf.: ± 0,005 (+0,694...+0,703) - [0,0%]
Duration: 8 hours 33 minutes
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 19053
Cubeless
Moves: 4-ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2

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