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Rollout of 5-away, 2-away cube

Posted By: Michael Nielsen
Date: Sunday, 29 July 2012, at 2:37 p.m.

In Response To: Match File (Stick)

XG 4-ply agreed with Stick and has this as a nodouble by .05. Not gonna extend it even though there's some variance left, but it's borderline at least.
White is eXtremeGammon

score: 5
pip: 131
7 point match
pip: 147
score: 2

Blue is Stick Lesson
XGID=--aBBCB--A--cA--ad-bbDb---:0:0:1:00:2:5:0:7:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 52.86% (G:21.65% B:0.52%) 52.94% (G:22.98% B:0.46%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 47.14% (G:13.82% B:1.07%) 47.06% (G:15.25% B:1.28%)
Cubeless Equities -0.016 +0.374
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.368 (-0.007)±0.009 (+0.359..+0.376)
Double/Take:+0.374±0.011 (+0.364..+0.385)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.626)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:83.2%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 1 hour 04 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2

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