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Forward how? * RO *

Posted By: Daniel Murphy
Date: Sunday, 5 August 2012, at 5:54 p.m.

In Response To: Forward how? (Daniel Murphy)

Three rollouts below. (1) Unlimited match, (2) DMP, and (3) where I kept changing the position until several plays seemed like they might be close contenders, according to the evaluation. This third rollout is short. Have at it, XG users.

Unlimited match. Blue to play 44

White163

 ' '2O '2X3X '3X '1X '3O

1X1O2O2O '3O2O ' ' ' '4X
Blue131
Position ID: sHPiAVDa3MABDA Match ID: QQkSAAAAAAAE

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 13/1* 6/2 +0.803159
0.7187330.5391480.018355-0.2812670.0638680.002541 +0.928559 +0.803159
0.0021400.0029800.001127-0.0021400.0015210.000369 0.006182 0.008735
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
649 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 692053496 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
2 R 22/18(2) 13/9 6/2 +0.758566 ( -0.044593)
0.7460260.4066140.014006-0.2539740.0470050.002256 +0.863412 +0.758566
0.0023740.0030990.001097-0.0023740.0018090.000256 0.006123 0.008671
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
649 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 692053496 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
3 R 22/10 6/2 +0.725946 ( -0.077214)
0.7299380.4100920.018999-0.2700620.0504850.002933 +0.835549 +0.725946
0.0025400.0029970.001151-0.0025400.0016750.000405 0.006369 0.009113
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
649 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 692053496 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
4 R 22/14 22/18 6/2 +0.663922 ( -0.139238)
0.7135160.3979090.020251-0.2864840.0579170.002756 +0.784520 +0.663922
0.0025500.0030670.001415-0.0025500.0017550.000267 0.006294 0.008910
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
649 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 692053496 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
5 R 22/14 13/9 6/2 +0.650584 ( -0.152576)
0.7065560.4041110.022982-0.2934440.0602510.002722 +0.777231 +0.650584
0.0024990.0033530.001402-0.0024990.0017040.000335 0.006340 0.008498
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
649 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 692053496 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
6 R 13/5(2) +0.645858 ( -0.157302)
0.6987080.4407210.019184-0.3012920.0740900.003696 +0.779536 +0.645858
0.0028730.0033790.001419-0.0028730.0017810.000488 0.008095 0.011901
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
648 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 692053496 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Double Match Point. Blue to play 44

White163

 ' '2O '2X3X '3X '1X '3O

1X1O2O2O '3O2O ' ' ' '4X
Blue131
Position ID: sHPiAVDa3MABDA Match ID: cAkyAAAAAAAE

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 22/18(2) 13/9 6/2 +0.455214
0.7276070.5094010.090098-0.2723930.0605650.007509 +0.455214 +0.455214
0.0027620.0097720.008240-0.0027620.0064890.002293 0.005524 0.005524
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
649 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 692053496 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
2 R 13/1* 6/2 +0.430421 ( -0.024793)
0.7152110.6065660.052009-0.2847890.0729900.008272 +0.430421 +0.430421
0.0026460.0092610.005526-0.0026460.0054030.001822 0.005293 0.005293
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
649 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 692053496 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
3 R 22/10 6/2 +0.418158 ( -0.037055)
0.7090790.5047610.123966-0.2909210.0538450.009910 +0.418158 +0.418158
0.0030750.0098320.009008-0.0030750.0052010.002969 0.006150 0.006150
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
648 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 692053496 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
4 R 22/14 22/18 6/2 +0.392920 ( -0.062294)
0.6964600.4629780.079646-0.3035400.0754800.007513 +0.392920 +0.392920
0.0037500.0119120.009297-0.0037500.0068680.002765 0.007501 0.007501
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
390 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 692053496 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
5 R 22/14 13/9 6/2 +0.383398 ( -0.071815)
0.6916990.4782100.108586-0.3083010.0658400.005730 +0.383398 +0.383398
0.0037430.0112430.009742-0.0037430.0066470.002153 0.007486 0.007486
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
389 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 692053496 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
6 R 13/5(2) +0.371158 ( -0.084056)
0.6855790.5026810.120605-0.3144210.0836190.016068 +0.371158 +0.371158
0.0047690.0100600.011595-0.0047690.0089130.004191 0.009537 0.009537
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
388 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 692053496 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Unlimited match. Blue to play 44

White157

 ' '2O '2X5X '2X ' ' '2O

1X1O3O2O '3O2O ' ' ' '4X
Blue121
Position ID: sM/gAVC6uYEBDA Match ID: QQkSAAAAAAAE

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 13/1* 6/2 +0.774318
0.7228350.5078590.005259-0.2771650.0642930.003183 +0.891312 +0.774318
0.0021480.0026950.000848-0.0021480.0016810.000516 0.005970 0.008860
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
648 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 692053496 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
2 R 22/10 6/2 +0.770388 ( -0.003930)
0.7456710.4214230.012163-0.2543290.0474260.001413 +0.876089 +0.770388
0.0022730.0031300.001013-0.0022730.0013640.000767 0.005502 0.007680
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
648 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 692053496 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
3 R 13/5(2) +0.766570 ( -0.007748)
0.7308800.4656120.014717-0.2691200.0548910.002330 +0.884868 +0.766570
0.0025100.0029180.001027-0.0025100.0016820.000325 0.006909 0.009870
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
648 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 692053496 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

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