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OLM Th 09/06/12

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Friday, 7 September 2012, at 4:40 p.m.

In Response To: OLM Th 09/06/12 (Jason Lee)

Not sure I did the mental math even close to correctly, but I get that we need nearly 40% CGWC to take this AtS.

Take a look at PRaT-G (Position, Race, and Threats with extra consideration for Gammons): Opp has a better board (4 v 2), an anchor (even advanced) to our none, a big race lead, and threats to bury us. If that works we're getting gammoned. Our (Positional) asset is a broken prime. Timing isn't great for opp but he can win without closing us out, and if he can just roll a deuce we are hard pressed to hit loose.

Opp's only number that doesn't do something positive for him (covering either 4-point or barpoint, or splitting with a deuce) is 55.

Pass

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