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How much easier?

Posted By: Daniel Murphy
Date: Saturday, 15 September 2012, at 2:03 a.m.

In Response To: How much easier? (Jason Lee)

(A) The probability that a particular player reaches the score -9/C.

(B) The probability that the trailer comes from behind -9/C to tie the match at DMP. If you like, I'll even throw in -2/PC.

I think (A) is larger.

If I rephrase the question as: which is more likely, (A) winning 8 points in a row from 0-0/9 or (B) losing 8 points in a row leading 8-0/9 Cr ... then I'd also think (A) is more likely. The Crawford game is a damper (max 3 point loss) and there will be no 4 or 8 cubes in any games.

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