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How much easier?

Posted By: Daniel Murphy
Date: Saturday, 15 September 2012, at 6:58 p.m.

In Response To: How much easier? (Timothy Chow)

Could be that if you start with the chance of winning 8 points or more in a row playing normally from 0-0/9 (which is what I suppose I really had in mind, talking about winning 8 points in a row), and take away the sequences in which you win 9 points in a row, then what's left is quite a bit smaller than the probability of winning 8 points in a row (but not 9?) from 0-8/9 Crawford.

There are a lot of pieces we don't have data for. The only piece we have is that according to the current MET, your chance of winning 9 points in a row from 0-8/9 Crawford is 5.6%.

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