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DMP-bearoff with contact-confusion

Posted By: Daniel Murphy
Date: Friday, 21 September 2012, at 6:03 a.m.

In Response To: DMP-bearoff with contact-confusion (roadkillbooks)

Robert, you counted only 12/36 of Blue's rolls leaving shots next roll after 4/1 3/off(3). But after that play, White will split with any ace and run one checker from the 23 point with everything else except 2-2.

This means (1) Blue gets hit more often than you calculated after the 12 numbers that you counted. It also means that 8 more of Blue's numbers -- 62 52 42 and 32 -- leave two blots, unless White rolled 2-2. White then gets either 22/36 or 26/36 shots at the 2 blots.

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