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Pure Race Question

Posted By: Taper_Mike
Date: Wednesday, 24 October 2012, at 2:47 a.m.

In Response To: Pure Race Question (Giuliano Pietoso)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 22
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 25
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-CBBC----------a-------f--:1:1:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 60.71% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 60.71% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 39.29% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 39.29% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Cubeless Equities +0.214 +0.428
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.431±0.002 (+0.429..+0.432)
Redouble/Take:+0.235 (-0.196)±0.003 (+0.231..+0.238)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (+0.569)
Best Cube action: No redouble / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 20.4%
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 43068719
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 4.2 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03

Be careful in applying race formulas to match play. They are designed for unlimited games.

Mike

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