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Help with score based race cube.

Posted By: Stick
Date: Saturday, 10 November 2012, at 5:19 p.m.

In Response To: Help with score based race cube. (Bill Calton)

I'm sure someone by the time I ran these rollouts has corrected your take point which is the main issue. Thought I'd toss in two rollouts, one AtS and the other for money, just to see how big the difference was. When you're worried about something like this I'd rather be more precise than XGR++.

AtS





White is Player 2

score: 3
pip: 135
7 point match
pip: 124
score: 4

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-----CC-CBA-fC---bbbc-----:0:0:1:00:4:3:0:7:10
Blue on roll, cube action?
Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 74.65% (G:0.06% B:0.00%) 74.58% (G:0.05% B:0.00%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 25.35% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 25.42% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Cubeless Equities +0.494 +1.481
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.823 (-0.063)±0.007 (+0.816..+0.830)
Double/Take:+0.886±0.010 (+0.876..+0.896)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.114)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 30892694
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 18 minutes 34 seconds

Money





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 135
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 124
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-----CC-CBA-fC---bbbc-----:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?
Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 74.64% (G:0.04% B:0.00%) 74.56% (G:0.01% B:0.00%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 25.36% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 25.44% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Cubeless Equities +0.493 +0.983
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.778 (-0.029)±0.007 (+0.771..+0.785)
Double/Take:+0.807±0.008 (+0.799..+0.815)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.193)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 32455789
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 18 minutes 44 seconds

Stick

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