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BGonline.org Forums
Help with score based race cube.
Posted By: Stick In Response To: Help with score based race cube. (Bill Calton)
Date: Saturday, 10 November 2012, at 5:19 p.m.
I'm sure someone by the time I ran these rollouts has corrected your take point which is the main issue. Thought I'd toss in two rollouts, one AtS and the other for money, just to see how big the difference was. When you're worried about something like this I'd rather be more precise than XGR++.
AtS
White is Player 2
score: 3
pip: 1357 point match pip: 124
score: 4
Blue is Player 1XGID=-----CC-CBA-fC---bbbc-----:0:0:1:00:4:3:0:7:10 Blue on roll, cube action?
Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take Player Winning Chances: 74.65% (G:0.06% B:0.00%) 74.58% (G:0.05% B:0.00%) Opponent Winning Chances: 25.35% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 25.42% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) Cubeless Equities +0.494 +1.481 Cubeful Equities No double: +0.823 (-0.063) ±0.007 (+0.816..+0.830) Double/Take: +0.886 ±0.010 (+0.876..+0.896) Double/Pass: +1.000 (+0.114) Best Cube action: Double / Take Rollout details 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 30892694
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG RollerDouble Decision confidence: 100.0% Take Decision confidence: 100.0% Duration: 18 minutes 34 seconds
Money
White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 135Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaverpip: 124
score: 0
Blue is Player 1XGID=-----CC-CBA-fC---bbbc-----:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10 Blue on roll, cube action?
Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take Player Winning Chances: 74.64% (G:0.04% B:0.00%) 74.56% (G:0.01% B:0.00%) Opponent Winning Chances: 25.36% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 25.44% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) Cubeless Equities +0.493 +0.983 Cubeful Equities No double: +0.778 (-0.029) ±0.007 (+0.771..+0.785) Double/Take: +0.807 ±0.008 (+0.799..+0.815) Double/Pass: +1.000 (+0.193) Best Cube action: Double / Take Rollout details 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 32455789
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG RollerDouble Decision confidence: 100.0% Take Decision confidence: 100.0% Duration: 18 minutes 44 seconds
Stick
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