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Posted By: Mr Majestyk
Date: Wednesday, 14 November 2012, at 12:02 p.m.

In Response To: How many EPC adjustments do you really need? (Mr Majestyk)

I estimated an EPC of 42-45; a gross screw-up compared to the actual EPC of 43.6-46.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 35
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 29
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-BCC--B------------b-bcc--:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?
Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 76.78% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 76.73% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 23.22% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 23.27% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.536 +1.069
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.802 (-0.147)±0.001 (+0.801..+0.802)
Double/Take:+0.949±0.001 (+0.948..+0.949)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.051)
 
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
41472 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply
 
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 57.1 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03

Thx for your contributions,

NBM

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