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DQ: Make the 2 point or hit?

Posted By: leobueno
Date: Tuesday, 20 November 2012, at 12:32 p.m.

In Response To: DQ: Make the 2 point or hit? (leobueno)

JSD > 4.

The score (after 0 games) is: GNUbg 0, leobueno 0

Move number 3: leobueno to play 21

GNUbg144

1O '2X1X2X3X '1X ' ' '2O

1X '1X3O '3O2O3O ' ' '4X
leobueno143
Position ID: rJ3gASQ4t4MBUA Match ID: cAkFAAAAAAAE

• leobueno moves bar/23 4/3*

Cube decision
4-ply cubeless equity +0.032 
  50.1 20.9 1.8 - 49.9 18.9 0.9
Cubeful equities:
 4-ply cubeful prune [4ply]
1.No double +0.022 
2.Double, pass +1.000 +0.978
3.Double, take -0.308 -0.330
Proper cube action:No double, beaver (25.2%)

 

Alert: doubtful move ( -0.032)

# Ply Move Equity
  1 R bar/23 24/23 -0.030
 
48.8 16.3 0.7- 51.2 15.9 0.8 -0.022 -0.030
0.1 0.1 0.0- 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.002 0.005
 
  Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.  
  4521 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 696413899 and quasi-random dice  
  Stop when best play is enough JSDs ahead: limit 4 (min. 360 games)  
  Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32  
  Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.  
  Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
2 R bar/23 4/3* -0.062 ( -0.032)
 
49.2 19.1 1.6- 50.8 21.2 1.3 -0.034 -0.062
0.1 0.1 0.0- 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.002 0.006
 
  Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.  
  4521 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 696413899 and quasi-random dice  
  Stop when best play is enough JSDs ahead: limit 4 (min. 360 games)  
  Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32  
  Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.  
  Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  3 2 bar/23 8/7 -0.151 ( -0.122)
  47.0 16.4 0.8 - 53.0 21.0 0.9  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  4 0 bar/24 8/6 -0.290 ( -0.261)
  42.5 15.1 0.8 - 57.5 20.7 1.2  
  0-ply cubeful prune [expert]  
  5 0 bar/24 4/2 -0.358 ( -0.328)
  41.4 14.1 0.7 - 58.6 21.9 1.6  
  0-ply cubeful prune [expert]  
  6 0 bar/24 13/11 -0.359 ( -0.329)
  41.1 14.8 0.8 - 58.9 22.0 1.8  
  0-ply cubeful prune [expert]  
  7 0 bar/24 6/4 -0.416 ( -0.386)
  39.5 12.6 0.6 - 60.5 20.9 1.3  
  0-ply cubeful prune [expert]  
  8 0 bar/23 6/5 -0.458 ( -0.428)
  40.9 13.5 0.7 - 59.1 28.3 1.8  
  0-ply cubeful prune [expert]  

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