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OLM Fr 11/30/12

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Saturday, 1 December 2012, at 6:17 p.m.

In Response To: OLM Fr 11/30/12 (Jason Lee)

Our position has now improved, but enough? Woolsey's Rule indicates we should ask "is this a take; are you sure?" and my answer is 'yes'. It could still be a double, but given that contact remains, the matchscore is going to affect that. Market losers look like PoH+fan (9/36)*(4/9)= 11%, plus our 66 (I think) so about 14% ML's. That's not a lot. The contact is a 2-way sword so compared to a typical holding game, White has extra contact equity. (Some classic holding games are close $ doubles with fewer market losers than this, but those have less contact.)

Putting it all together I don't see this as a double.

ND

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