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What is your move? — Unlimited Games — 3-ply XG2 Rollout

Posted By: Taper_Mike
Date: Monday, 31 December 2012, at 8:56 p.m.

In Response To: What is your move? (Jango Nero)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 150
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 160
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a----E-C-A-fD---b-dAb--A-:0:0:1:64:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 64

1.Rollout120/10eq: -0.1547
Player:
Opponent:
46.55% (G:9.05% B:0.31%)
53.45% (G:13.20% B:0.36%)
Conf.: ±0.0025 (-0.1572...-0.1522) - [100.0%]
Duration: 4 hours 38 minutes
2.Rollout124/20 13/7eq: -0.1693 (-0.0146)
Player:
Opponent:
44.96% (G:9.50% B:0.24%)
55.04% (G:8.76% B:0.33%)
Conf.: ±0.0024 (-0.1717...-0.1669) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 hours 12 minutes
3.Rollout210/4 8/4eq: -0.1790 (-0.0243)
Player:
Opponent:
45.36% (G:12.48% B:0.45%)
54.64% (G:14.11% B:0.55%)
Conf.: ±0.0034 (-0.1824...-0.1756) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 52 minutes
4.Rollout224/20 10/4eq: -0.1841 (-0.0293)
Player:
Opponent:
44.51% (G:8.50% B:0.21%)
55.49% (G:7.84% B:0.30%)
Conf.: ±0.0033 (-0.1874...-0.1807) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 hours 22 minutes
 
1 41472 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 67663517
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 20736 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 67663517
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Rollout by Taper_Mike
2012-Dec-22
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03
42P-43S-65R-64-tm.xgp
42P-43S-65R-64  [S Z15 P24 C29]  "<=41*20

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03

For money, at least, running is clear. Note that you’ll be an underdog no matter how you play.

Jango, if you have a rollout, you can post it 24 to 48 hours after your initial post.

This one has an interesting Nactation. Note the 6 is played on the far side of the board, and, after that, the same checker is played down (into the outer board) using the 4. That is the very definition of S = Split (20/10). S (Split) is an areal family. In a roll of non-doublets, its members move the larger die on the far side, and play down (i.e., to or within the outer board) with the smaller.

Making the 10pt ranks third in the P (Point) family.

P = Point (10/4 8/4)
p = point (8/2 6/2)
P = Point (20/10)

Mike

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