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31, hit or no hit?

Posted By: Stick
Date: Sunday, 27 January 2013, at 3:48 p.m.

In Response To: 31, hit or no hit? (mtuhtan)

I had a hard time comparing wins and gammon losses between hit and no hit scenario. Any tips for decisions like this one? (Some rule of thumb, or just lots of practice and reference positions?)

As I already proved with my free lesson the other week, at a normal many away/many away score there is no need by and large to make this comparison. Find the dmp play and make it. The reasoning is that given the 2:1 ratio (wins to gammons lost) if a play is the dmp play it takes quite a trade off for the dmp play not to be correct. In situations like this one too you need to remember not only does the dmp play win more, but it also wins more gammons which would factor into your equation. Too many people focus solely on how you stated it, wins v. gammon losses.

Stick

Messages In This Thread

• 31, hit or no hit?
  mtuhtan -- Sunday, 27 January 2013, at 3:14 p.m.
  • 31, hit or no hit?
    Stick -- Sunday, 27 January 2013, at 3:48 p.m.
  • 31, hit or no hit?
    Taper_Mike -- Sunday, 27 January 2013, at 6:49 p.m.
    • Rollout
      mtuhtan -- Monday, 28 January 2013, at 9:22 p.m.
  • Anybody else?
    mtuhtan -- Monday, 28 January 2013, at 3:53 p.m.
    • Anybody else?
      Casper van der Tak -- Monday, 28 January 2013, at 4:48 p.m.
  • 31, hit or no hit?
    Michael Depreli -- Monday, 28 January 2013, at 4:01 p.m.
  • 31, hit or no hit?
    ah_clem -- Monday, 28 January 2013, at 6:48 p.m.