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OLM 2013-02-09

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Monday, 11 February 2013, at 1:52 a.m.

In Response To: OLM 2013-02-09 (Jason Lee)

I calculate that our takepoint is $-ish here.

From Cube Reference Positions I recall that race deficits of 20 pips in 20-point holding games are worse than 10 pips or 30 pips. We have less racing chances (obviously) than with a 10 pip deficit and not sufficient timing to hold our board and our anchor (as we could do with a 30 pip deficit). Without flaws the classic 20 pip deficit is still a take, but close. Let's look at the flaws:

Our board could be better. Minus for this position compared to 'classic'.

Opp needs to clear the 12-point which is easier than clearing the 13-point. Another minus for our side here.

Opp's ugly board hampers his bearoff. Plus for us compared to 'classic'.

I don't think opp's bearoff flaws are enough to offset the *relative) ease of bearin, and our open 5-point adds the last nail in our coffin. Looks like a pass to me.

Pass

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