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to clear: 13-point vs. 12-point

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Monday, 11 February 2013, at 9:00 p.m.

In Response To: OLM 2013-02-09 ROLLOUT (Jason Lee)

About 3% difference in W/L compared to original position. (As you can see I had to move a couple other checkers to preserve the pipcount difference. Hopefully that didn't have much of an effect.)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 96
Unlimited Game
pip: 77
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-BBBC-B---B-b----b-cBb-cc-:0:0:-1:00:0:0:0:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 71.605% (G:1.444% B:0.015%) 71.596% (G:1.386% B:0.014%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 28.395% (G:1.184% B:0.020%) 28.404% (G:1.293% B:0.028%)
Cubeless Equities +0.4346 +0.8654
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.6942±0.0050 (+0.6891..+0.6992)
Double/Take:+0.6919 (-0.0023)±0.0068 (+0.6851..+0.6986)
Double/Pass:+1.0000 (+0.3058)
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 0.7%
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 88749343
Moves and cube decisions: 4-ply
Double Decision confidence:70.2%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 3 hours 02 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03

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