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Truncated RO: Best move and why?

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Monday, 18 February 2013, at 6:16 p.m.

In Response To: Best move and why? (RealNick)

This truncated rollout puts 21/13 clearly ahead, which doesn't quite match what RealNick said. Arguments in favor of running are that Blue is ahead in the race and has a stronger board.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 108
Money session
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 103
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-BABBbE------A----cdcBba--:0:0:1:62:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 62

1.Rollout121/13eq: -0.393
Player:
Opponent:
37.05% (G:9.13% B:0.44%)
62.95% (G:13.01% B:0.40%)
Conf: ± 0.008 (-0.401...-0.385)
Duration: 1 minute 27 seconds
2.Rollout113/7 6/4eq: -0.455 (-0.062)
Player:
Opponent:
37.69% (G:4.83% B:0.13%)
62.31% (G:9.81% B:0.30%)
Conf: ± 0.012 (-0.467...-0.443)
Duration: 2 minutes 07 seconds
1 Truncated at 7 moves using 3 ply.
648 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 2
First 2 moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Remaining moves: 2 ply, cube decisions: 3 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

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