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BGonline.org Forums
Memorizing two-roll positions
Posted By: John O'Hagan In Response To: Memorizing two-roll positions (Timothy Chow)
Date: Wednesday, 20 February 2013, at 4:08 p.m.
Matussek's EPC & bearoff winning chance formula gives EPC's of 19.6 to 17.4 which converts to 64.3% winning chances. Actual EPC's are 18.8 to 17 so it's off by a net of 0.4 effective pips. It doesn't get into cube actions so you have to figure that out on your own. I'd take a roll even though the game's almost over. The take is clear and there are too many bad numbers.
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