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Easy 1-1?

Posted By: ah_clem
Date: Wednesday, 20 February 2013, at 9:29 p.m.

In Response To: Easy 1-1? (Karl Frogner)

Small doubles are rarely easy; too many ways to play them.

There's the super aggressive rip-off-three play that exposes two blots, but that seems a bit over-enthusiastic. Yes, blue wants to win a gammon AtS and the gammon is pretty much iced if she misses, but leaving 20 shots is a bit loose, and if she hits both (3 shakes) I'm not sure you even have a cash.

At the other extreme 3/2*(2) 2/1(2) is needlessly safe since you should have a cash if she hits a single checker and it seems that the chances of her simply running off the gammon if you make this play is greater than the chance of her hitting.

So it seems to be between

3/2*/1/off 1/off

3/2*(2) 1/off(2) and

3/2* 3/off

Taking off 1 vs 2 doesn't seem to matter much. the real question is whether we want to leave the blot on the ace, the deuce or the three point. leaving the blot on the 3 gives two addional hitting numbers without anything in return. i'll leave it on the deuce, but i'm not sure if thatgs better than leaving it on the ace.

3/2* 3/off

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