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Simple concept(?) this intermediate doesn't get

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Tuesday, 5 March 2013, at 8:32 p.m.

In Response To: Simple concept(?) this intermediate doesn't get (bb766)

With the score reversed White has a TP of about 18.5%. Blue is risking 40% by doubling to gain 18.5% so his doubling window opens at about 68% and he's clearly got more than that. Of course he needs more than that to cube, since there's value in the cube later.

Per XG this is actually a recube at that score. I'm not sure what MET you have loaded into GNU, but I'd make sure to use the MET rolled out with GNU..ie Rockwell-Kazaross.





White is Player 2

score: 3
pip: 14
7 point match
pip: 8
score: 4

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-BC------------------bb---:1:1:1:00:4:3:0:7:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 73.513% (G:0.000% B:0.000%) 73.427% (G:0.000% B:0.000%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 26.487% (G:0.000% B:0.000%) 26.573% (G:0.000% B:0.000%)
Cubeless Equities +0.4703 +0.6129
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.5545 (-0.0584)±0.0000 (+0.5545..+0.5545)
Redouble/Take:+0.6129±0.0000 (+0.6129..+0.6129)
Redouble/Pass:+1.0000 (+0.3871)
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 46746902
Moves and cube decisions: XG Roller+
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 2.3 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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