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Truncated RO: I might have done better just to flip a coin

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Thursday, 21 March 2013, at 12:09 a.m.

In Response To: I might have done better just to flip a coin (Timothy Chow)

I hate 8/2 as much as anyone, but the bot assures me that I hate it too much, so I've been trying to figure out when I'm supposed to play it. Not here, that's for sure. But fellow 8/2-haters may want to check out the variant position that I've posted below.

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 139 Money session Jacoby pip: 144 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a-Ba-D-C---bE---bccb-a--A:0:0:1:62:0:0:1:0:10
Blue to play 62

1.	Rollout1	Bar/23 13/7	eq: -0.691
	Player: Opponent: 35.22% (G:8.94% B:0.41%) 64.78% (G:25.68% B:0.92%) Conf: ± 0.012 (-0.703...-0.679) Duration: 3 minutes 23 seconds
2.	Rollout1	Bar/23 8/2	eq: -0.811 (-0.120)
	Player: Opponent: 33.74% (G:8.53% B:0.37%) 66.26% (G:27.82% B:0.88%) Conf: ± 0.013 (-0.824...-0.798) Duration: 3 minutes 23 seconds
1 Truncated at 7 moves using 3 ply. 648 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 2 First 2 moves and cube decisions: 3 ply Remaining moves: 2 ply, cube decisions: 3 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

---

Variant (any volunteers to roll this out for real?):

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 139 Money session Jacoby pip: 139 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a-Ba-D-D---bD---bccb-a--A:0:0:1:62:0:0:1:0:10
Blue to play 62

1.	Rollout1	Bar/23 8/2	eq: -0.644
	Player: Opponent: 35.71% (G:9.62% B:0.43%) 64.29% (G:25.13% B:0.82%) Conf: ± 0.013 (-0.657...-0.631) Duration: 3 minutes 20 seconds
2.	Rollout1	Bar/23 13/7	eq: -0.649 (-0.005)
	Player: Opponent: 35.04% (G:9.46% B:0.43%) 64.96% (G:23.71% B:0.83%) Conf: ± 0.012 (-0.661...-0.637) Duration: 3 minutes 09 seconds
1 Truncated at 7 moves using 3 ply. 648 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 2 First 2 moves and cube decisions: 3 ply Remaining moves: 2 ply, cube decisions: 3 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

Messages In This Thread

• I might have done better just to flip a coin
  Timothy Chow -- Tuesday, 19 March 2013, at 11:29 p.m.
  • I might have done better just to flip a coin
    Taper_Mike -- Wednesday, 20 March 2013, at 1:15 a.m.
  • I might have done better just to flip a coin
    mamabear -- Wednesday, 20 March 2013, at 1:48 a.m.
  • I might have done better just to flip a coin
    Chase -- Wednesday, 20 March 2013, at 3:04 a.m.
    • I might have done better just to flip a coin
      mamabear -- Wednesday, 20 March 2013, at 7:51 a.m.
  • I might have done better just to flip a coin
    mochy -- Wednesday, 20 March 2013, at 1:45 p.m.
    • I might have done better just to flip a coin
      neilkaz -- Wednesday, 20 March 2013, at 4:01 p.m.
  • I might have done better just to flip a coin
    ah_clem -- Wednesday, 20 March 2013, at 2:07 p.m.
  • Truncated RO: I might have done better just to flip a coin
    Timothy Chow -- Thursday, 21 March 2013, at 12:09 a.m.
    • 1296 3-ply RO: I might have done better just to flip a coin
      ah_clem -- Friday, 22 March 2013, at 3:02 p.m.
      • 1296 3-ply RO: I might have done better just to flip a coin
        Chase -- Friday, 22 March 2013, at 3:48 p.m.