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43Z-11P-61U-51H-54@-64Z-55 — Unlimited Games — 3-ply XG2 Rollout

Posted By: Taper_Mike
Date: Friday, 22 March 2013, at 3:05 a.m.

In Response To: Rollout: The perils of knowing too much (Timothy Chow)

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 147 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 155 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a---aE-CA--cD---cbcBb----:0:0:1:55:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 55

1.	Rollout1	20/15(2) 6/1*(2)	eq: +0.1042
	Player: Opponent: 53.04% (G:8.86% B:0.18%) 46.96% (G:9.95% B:0.35%) Conf.: ±0.0061 (+0.0982...+0.1103) - [100.0%] Duration: 28 minutes 17 seconds
2.	Rollout1	20/10(2)	eq: +0.0512 (-0.0530)
	Player: Opponent: 52.39% (G:7.75% B:0.26%) 47.61% (G:11.26% B:0.32%) Conf.: ±0.0060 (+0.0452...+0.0572) - [0.0%] Duration: 34 minutes 19 seconds
3.	Rollout1	8/3(2) 6/1*(2)	eq: +0.0504 (-0.0539)
	Player: Opponent: 48.58% (G:16.82% B:0.20%) 51.42% (G:8.92% B:0.36%) Conf.: ±0.0068 (+0.0436...+0.0571) - [0.0%] Duration: 22 minutes 40 seconds
4.	Rollout1	13/8(2) 6/1*(2)	eq: +0.0038 (-0.1004)
	Player: Opponent: 48.86% (G:10.72% B:0.17%) 51.14% (G:6.77% B:0.26%) Conf.: ±0.0058 (-0.0019...+0.0096) - [0.0%] Duration: 25 minutes 19 seconds
5.	Rollout1	13/3(2)	eq: -0.0141 (-0.1183)
	Player: Opponent: 48.44% (G:11.94% B:0.26%) 51.56% (G:7.74% B:0.32%) Conf.: ±0.0062 (-0.0203...-0.0079) - [0.0%] Duration: 27 minutes 33 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 57321396 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Rollout by Taper_Mike 2013-Mar-21 eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03 43Z-11P-61U-51H-54@-64Z-55-tm . xgp [E B53 A54 N100 P118] "<=5 [E A32 B48 N75 P88] "&e

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03

43Z-11P-61U-51H-54@-64Z-55 — Unlimited Games

Bot	Seed	Equity	Nacbracs	Link
GnuBg 2-ply Trunc	677561959	+25.717	[E A24 B44 N70 P76] /0.360t	Taper_Mike
XG 1.21 3-ply	2	+105	[E B49 A51 N96 P105] '<1	Timothy Chow
XG 2.03 3-ply, Cubes: XGR	57321396	+104.2	[E B53 A54 N100 P118] "<=5	Taper_Mike (above)
XG 2.03 XGR++ Eval	[XGR++ seed]	+77.8	[E A32 B48 N75 P88] "&e	Taper_Mike

43Z-11P-61U-51H-54@-64Z-55 — Nactation Key

Family	Nactation	Traditional Notation	Note
Attack	A	8/3(2), 6/1*(2)
Both	B	20/10(2)
Each	E	20/15(2), 6/1*(2)
Near	N	13/8(2), 6/1*(2)
Point	P	13/3(2)

Perhaps 5k is too few trials to decide between A (Attack) and B (Both), but the top play is clearly E (Each). Thanks, Timothy, for looking up the move sequence for me. Mike

Messages In This Thread

• The perils of knowing too much
  Timothy Chow -- Monday, 18 March 2013, at 3:26 p.m.
  • Spoiler Alert: I may have see this somewhere
    mamabear -- Wednesday, 20 March 2013, at 1:57 a.m.
    • Spoiler Alert: I may have see this somewhere
      neilkaz -- Wednesday, 20 March 2013, at 3:51 p.m.
    • Spoiler Alert: I may have see this somewhere
      Bob Koca -- Wednesday, 20 March 2013, at 6:03 p.m.
      • Spoiler Alert: I may have see this somewhere
        mamabear -- Thursday, 21 March 2013, at 1:08 a.m.
    • Spoiler Alert: I may have see this somewhere
      Timothy Chow -- Wednesday, 20 March 2013, at 11:52 p.m.
      • Spoiler Alert: I may have see this somewhere
        mamabear -- Thursday, 21 March 2013, at 1:11 a.m.
    • some similars
      lenny -- Thursday, 21 March 2013, at 4:48 a.m.
      • some similars
        Timothy Chow -- Thursday, 21 March 2013, at 5:34 p.m.
  • The perils of knowing too much
    Igor -- Wednesday, 20 March 2013, at 2:06 a.m.
  • The perils of knowing too much
    ah_clem -- Wednesday, 20 March 2013, at 2:15 p.m.
  • Rollout: The perils of knowing too much
    Timothy Chow -- Wednesday, 20 March 2013, at 11:59 p.m.
    • No good at retro BG!
      Taper_Mike -- Thursday, 21 March 2013, at 6:00 a.m.
      • Wait, wait... Don’t tell me!
        Taper_Mike -- Thursday, 21 March 2013, at 8:52 a.m.
        • Wait, wait... Don’t tell me!
          Timothy Chow -- Thursday, 21 March 2013, at 5:30 p.m.
    • 43Z-11P-61U-51H-54@-64Z-55 — Unlimited Games — 3-ply XG2 Rollout
      Taper_Mike -- Friday, 22 March 2013, at 3:05 a.m.
      • Nactation question
        Timothy Chow -- Friday, 22 March 2013, at 11:06 p.m.
        • Never mind...
          Timothy Chow -- Friday, 22 March 2013, at 11:12 p.m.
        • Nactation question
          Taper_Mike -- Saturday, 23 March 2013, at 3:29 a.m.