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cube decision in a long match - ROLLOUT

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Tuesday, 2 April 2013, at 2:21 a.m.

In Response To: cube decision in a long match (Chuck Bower)

Bare take here...





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 132
17 point match
pip: 157
score: 2

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-b-a-BCBB---AC---abe--bbB-:0:0:1:00:2:0:0:17:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 72.287% (G:22.130% B:1.367%) 72.527% (G:22.971% B:1.496%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 27.713% (G:8.979% B:0.586%) 27.473% (G:8.819% B:0.695%)
Cubeless Equities +0.5911 +1.2167
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.8378 (-0.1528)±0.0052 (+0.8326..+0.8430)
Double/Take:+0.9906±0.0074 (+0.9831..+0.9980)
Double/Pass:+1.0000 (+0.0094)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
9505 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 39162517
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:99.3%
Duration: 13 hours 04 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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