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BGonline.org Forums
Rollout: Must pay something now...but what do I pay?
Posted By: Timothy Chow In Response To: Must pay something now...but what do I pay? (Timothy Chow)
Date: Thursday, 18 April 2013, at 1:52 a.m.
White's two anchors are somewhat unusually positioned and I didn't have good intuition about exactly what they implied about my strategy. I tried 7/2* 5/2 to keep the shot count down and perhaps force White's blot forwards. But it is apparently too big a positional sacrifice in what rates to be a positional struggle.
Even though nobody would consider it, I included the play 8/3 6/3 in the rollout below just because a preliminary evaluation suggested it might be comparable to 14/6.
White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 160Money session
Jacobypip: 109
score: 0
Blue is Player 1XGID=--a-bCFBBb----B--bbcc-----:1:-1:1:53:0:0:1:0:10 Blue to play 53
1. Rollout1 6/3 6/1 eq: +0.275
Player:
Opponent:64.52% (G:19.80% B:0.43%)
35.48% (G:6.83% B:0.25%)Conf: ± 0.013 (+0.262...+0.288)
Duration: 3 hours 44 minutes2. Rollout1 7/2* 5/2 eq: +0.228 (-0.046)
Player:
Opponent:62.40% (G:20.32% B:0.40%)
37.60% (G:6.32% B:0.26%)Conf: ± 0.012 (+0.216...+0.240)
Duration: 4 hours 22 minutes3. Rollout1 14/6 eq: +0.142 (-0.133)
Player:
Opponent:59.64% (G:19.70% B:0.46%)
40.35% (G:6.80% B:0.26%)Conf: ± 0.014 (+0.128...+0.156)
Duration: 5 hours 03 minutes4. Rollout1 8/3 6/3 eq: +0.116 (-0.158)
Player:
Opponent:59.18% (G:19.05% B:0.48%)
40.82% (G:7.89% B:0.32%)Conf: ± 0.014 (+0.102...+0.130)
Duration: 5 hours 13 minutes1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 2
Moves and cube decisions: 3 plyeXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21
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