I hit. But I think what the bot is telling us is that hitting loses too many gammons ATS.
It doesn't much like Chuck's play, either (though there's still a lot of variance left in my rollout). Probably it's the old "give ourselves a good 6" idea that puts 8/7 ahead of 6/5.
         
 
        
 | | White is Player 2
score: 3
pip: 137 | | 7 point match | pip: 158
score: 3
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-B--a-C-C---dEb----e-c--AA:0:0:1:11:3:3:0:7:10 |
| Blue to play 11 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | Bar/23 24/23 8/7 | eq: -0.743 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 33.39% (G:7.47% B:0.59%)
66.61% (G:14.31% B:1.89%) | Conf: ± 0.016 (-0.759...-0.727)
Duration: 5 hours 14 minutes |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | Bar/23 24/23 6/5 | eq: -0.809 (-0.066) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 32.36% (G:6.98% B:0.57%)
67.64% (G:15.23% B:3.08%) | Conf: ± 0.023 (-0.832...-0.786)
Duration: 7 hours 43 minutes |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | Bar/23 6/4* | eq: -0.822 (-0.079) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 35.78% (G:10.73% B:0.99%)
64.22% (G:22.49% B:5.59%) | Conf: ± 0.026 (-0.848...-0.796)
Duration: 7 hours 46 minutes |
|
| 4. | Rollout1 | Bar/24 8/7 6/4* | eq: -0.831 (-0.088) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 35.08% (G:10.52% B:0.86%)
64.92% (G:21.51% B:6.72%) | Conf: ± 0.034 (-0.865...-0.797)
Duration: 8 hours 18 minutes |
|
| 5. | Rollout2 | Bar/24 6/4* 4/3 | eq: -0.879 (-0.136) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 33.85% (G:9.57% B:0.84%)
66.15% (G:19.89% B:5.77%) | Conf: ± 0.037 (-0.916...-0.842)
Duration: 4 hours 30 minutes |
|
| |
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 2
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
2 1302 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 2
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross
For money:
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 137 | Money session
Jacoby | pip: 158
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-B--a-C-C---dEb----e-c--AA:0:0:1:11:0:0:1:0:10 |
| Blue to play 11 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | Bar/23 6/4* | eq: -0.611 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 35.77% (G:9.50% B:0.32%)
64.23% (G:21.17% B:1.25%) | Conf: ± 0.017 (-0.628...-0.594)
Duration: 3 hours 12 minutes |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | Bar/24 8/7 6/4* | eq: -0.627 (-0.015) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 35.75% (G:9.88% B:0.28%)
64.25% (G:21.81% B:1.87%) | Conf: ± 0.018 (-0.645...-0.609)
Duration: 3 hours 12 minutes |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | Bar/23 24/23 8/7 | eq: -0.654 (-0.042) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 33.42% (G:7.29% B:0.20%)
66.58% (G:15.10% B:0.70%) | Conf: ± 0.016 (-0.670...-0.638)
Duration: 3 hours 27 minutes |
|
| |
1 1958 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 2
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21