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Now the RO result
Posted By: Chuck Bower In Response To: Early game decision, early in the match (Chuck Bower)
Date: Tuesday, 25 December 2007, at 1:29 a.m.
Would have liked more statsig but I've run for nearly 24 hours with my laptop. (Fast desktop is on the fritz -- I think the video card got zapped with static electricity.) The two plays that move both back checkers are pretty close and 13/8 isn't much of an error, but apparently the wrong approach here.
The score (after 0 games) is: JellyFish 0, Player2 0 (match to 9 points)
Move number 3: JellyFish to play 23
Pip counts: JellyFish 153, Player2 153
Position ID: hm/gACPg2+AhIA Match ID: MAEtAQAAAAAA
• JellyFish moves 13/8
# Ply Move Equity 1 R 24/21 17/15 +0.0174
0.5213 0.1005 0.0041 - 0.4787 0.1549 0.0038 -0.0130 +0.0174 0.0009 0.0009 0.0003 - 0.0009 0.0008 0.0002 0.0025 0.0061 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 2987 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1044686848 and quasi-random dice Stop when best play is enough JSDs ahead: limit 3.5 (min. 432 games) Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] Different evaluations after 8 plies: Play: 0-ply cubeful prune [expert] Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 2 R 24/22 17/14 +0.0053 ( -0.0121)
0.5198 0.1002 0.0046 - 0.4802 0.1523 0.0036 -0.0129 +0.0053 0.0009 0.0008 0.0002 - 0.0009 0.0009 0.0002 0.0024 0.0057 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 2987 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1044686848 and quasi-random dice Stop when best play is enough JSDs ahead: limit 3.5 (min. 432 games) Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] Different evaluations after 8 plies: Play: 0-ply cubeful prune [expert] Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] • 3 R 13/8 -0.0042 ( -0.0216)
0.5160 0.1003 0.0041 - 0.4840 0.1569 0.0036 -0.0258 -0.0042 0.0008 0.0009 0.0002 - 0.0008 0.0010 0.0002 0.0023 0.0055 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 2987 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1044686848 and quasi-random dice Stop when best play is enough JSDs ahead: limit 3.5 (min. 432 games) Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] Different evaluations after 8 plies: Play: 0-ply cubeful prune [expert] Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 4 3 17/14 13/11 -0.0444 ( -0.0618) 0.5107 0.1047 0.0024 - 0.4893 0.1660 0.0048 3-ply cubeful prune [grandmaster] 5 3 24/21 13/11 -0.0649 ( -0.0823) 0.5073 0.1093 0.0031 - 0.4927 0.1793 0.0062 3-ply cubeful prune [grandmaster] 6 3 6/1* -0.1280 ( -0.1454) 0.4884 0.1010 0.0022 - 0.5116 0.1768 0.0056 3-ply cubeful prune [grandmaster] 7 2 17/15 13/10 -0.1351 ( -0.1525) 0.4887 0.1153 0.0039 - 0.5113 0.1936 0.0070 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 8 0 17/15 6/3 -0.0922 ( -0.1096) 0.4995 0.1138 0.0037 - 0.5005 0.1908 0.0051 0-ply cubeful prune [expert] 9 0 24/22 13/10 -0.1018 ( -0.1192) 0.4984 0.1084 0.0039 - 0.5016 0.1913 0.0046 0-ply cubeful prune [expert] 10 0 24/22 6/3 -0.1043 ( -0.1216) 0.4992 0.1111 0.0042 - 0.5008 0.1986 0.0047 0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
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