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Now the RO result

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Tuesday, 25 December 2007, at 1:29 a.m.

In Response To: Early game decision, early in the match (Chuck Bower)

Would have liked more statsig but I've run for nearly 24 hours with my laptop. (Fast desktop is on the fritz -- I think the video card got zapped with static electricity.) The two plays that move both back checkers are pretty close and 13/8 isn't much of an error, but apparently the wrong approach here.

The score (after 0 games) is: JellyFish 0, Player2 0 (match to 9 points)

Move number 3: JellyFish to play 23


1O ' '2O '5X2X2X ' ' '3O

1X2O ' ' '5O2O1X ' ' '4X

Pip counts: JellyFish 153, Player2 153
Position ID: hm/gACPg2+AhIA Match ID: MAEtAQAAAAAA

• JellyFish moves 13/8

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 24/21 17/15 +0.0174
0.52130.10050.0041-0.47870.15490.0038 -0.0130 +0.0174
0.00090.00090.0003-0.00090.00080.0002 0.0025 0.0061
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
2987 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1044686848 and quasi-random dice
Stop when best play is enough JSDs ahead: limit 3.5 (min. 432 games)
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
Different evaluations after 8 plies:
Play: 0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
2 R 24/22 17/14 +0.0053 ( -0.0121)
0.51980.10020.0046-0.48020.15230.0036 -0.0129 +0.0053
0.00090.00080.0002-0.00090.00090.0002 0.0024 0.0057
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
2987 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1044686848 and quasi-random dice
Stop when best play is enough JSDs ahead: limit 3.5 (min. 432 games)
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
Different evaluations after 8 plies:
Play: 0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
3 R 13/8 -0.0042 ( -0.0216)
0.51600.10030.0041-0.48400.15690.0036 -0.0258 -0.0042
0.00080.00090.0002-0.00080.00100.0002 0.0023 0.0055
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
2987 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1044686848 and quasi-random dice
Stop when best play is enough JSDs ahead: limit 3.5 (min. 432 games)
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
Different evaluations after 8 plies:
Play: 0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
4 3 17/14 13/11 -0.0444 ( -0.0618)
0.5107 0.1047 0.0024 - 0.4893 0.1660 0.0048
3-ply cubeful prune [grandmaster]
5 3 24/21 13/11 -0.0649 ( -0.0823)
0.5073 0.1093 0.0031 - 0.4927 0.1793 0.0062
3-ply cubeful prune [grandmaster]
6 3 6/1* -0.1280 ( -0.1454)
0.4884 0.1010 0.0022 - 0.5116 0.1768 0.0056
3-ply cubeful prune [grandmaster]
7 2 17/15 13/10 -0.1351 ( -0.1525)
0.4887 0.1153 0.0039 - 0.5113 0.1936 0.0070
2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
8 0 17/15 6/3 -0.0922 ( -0.1096)
0.4995 0.1138 0.0037 - 0.5005 0.1908 0.0051
0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
9 0 24/22 13/10 -0.1018 ( -0.1192)
0.4984 0.1084 0.0039 - 0.5016 0.1913 0.0046
0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
10 0 24/22 6/3 -0.1043 ( -0.1216)
0.4992 0.1111 0.0042 - 0.5008 0.1986 0.0047
0-ply cubeful prune [expert]

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