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RO
Posted By: Chuck Bower In Response To: Last one worked; let's try another (Chuck Bower)
Date: Wednesday, 26 December 2007, at 2:05 a.m.
Hitting lose and slotting the prime are apparently the wrong approaches here. Blue is just a bit short of ammo, and with only a four point board and broken prime, too much can go wrong.
Interesting that two approaches are close: stay back to get another or just get a move on. The 8/7 play (if not covering 13/8) is worth it, as the RO shows.
The score (after 0 games) is: JellyFish 0, Player2 0 (match to 9 points)
Move number 7: Player2 to play 15
Pip counts: JellyFish 101, Player2 108
Position ID: N3wDAyBmtwUDBA Match ID: QYk0AQAAAAAA
• Player2 moves 21/16 8/7
# Ply Move Equity • 1 R 21/16 8/7 +0.6409
0.7896 0.1504 0.0046 - 0.2104 0.0245 0.0005 +0.7188 +0.6409 0.0007 0.0013 0.0002 - 0.0007 0.0005 0.0001 0.0017 0.0021 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 4015 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1044686848 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] Different evaluations after 8 plies: Play: 0-ply cubeful prune [expert] Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 2 R 21/20 13/8 +0.6292 ( -0.0117)
0.7770 0.1758 0.0064 - 0.2230 0.0404 0.0007 +0.7065 +0.6292 0.0007 0.0014 0.0003 - 0.0007 0.0006 0.0001 0.0020 0.0024 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 3624 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1044686848 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] Different evaluations after 8 plies: Play: 0-ply cubeful prune [expert] Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 3 R 21/15 +0.6139 ( -0.0270)
0.7864 0.1422 0.0058 - 0.2136 0.0363 0.0009 +0.6921 +0.6139 0.0022 0.0036 0.0008 - 0.0022 0.0016 0.0003 0.0052 0.0066 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 432 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1044686848 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] Different evaluations after 8 plies: Play: 0-ply cubeful prune [expert] Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 4 R 13/8 5/4 +0.6077 ( -0.0332)
0.7631 0.1876 0.0084 - 0.2369 0.0453 0.0008 +0.6872 +0.6077 0.0023 0.0044 0.0010 - 0.0023 0.0013 0.0001 0.0064 0.0078 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 432 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1044686848 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] Different evaluations after 8 plies: Play: 0-ply cubeful prune [expert] Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 5 4 21/16 5/4 +0.5905 ( -0.0504) 0.7634 0.1743 0.0049 - 0.2366 0.0418 0.0007 4-ply cubeful 6 4 8/2 +0.5557 ( -0.0852) 0.7405 0.1929 0.0038 - 0.2595 0.0396 0.0006 4-ply cubeful 7 4 8/3 5/4 +0.5337 ( -0.1072) 0.7270 0.2371 0.0067 - 0.2730 0.0792 0.0014 4-ply cubeful 8 2 21/20 8/3 +0.5115 ( -0.1294) 0.7237 0.2241 0.0064 - 0.2763 0.0763 0.0012 2-ply cubeful 9 2 7/1* +0.3013 ( -0.3396) 0.6516 0.2349 0.0036 - 0.3484 0.1241 0.0048 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 10 0 13/7 +0.5199 ( -0.1210) 0.7288 0.2123 0.0061 - 0.2712 0.0684 0.0010 0-ply cubeful [expert]
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