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RO

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Wednesday, 26 December 2007, at 2:05 a.m.

In Response To: Last one worked; let's try another (Chuck Bower)

Hitting lose and slotting the prime are apparently the wrong approaches here. Blue is just a bit short of ammo, and with only a four point board and broken prime, too much can go wrong.

Interesting that two approaches are close: stay back to get another or just get a move on. The 8/7 play (if not covering 13/8) is worth it, as the RO shows.

The score (after 0 games) is: JellyFish 0, Player2 0 (match to 9 points)

Move number 7: Player2 to play 15


3X2X '1O '5X2X ' ' ' '2O

1X2O '2O3O2O2O1O ' ' '2X

Pip counts: JellyFish 101, Player2 108
Position ID: N3wDAyBmtwUDBA Match ID: QYk0AQAAAAAA

• Player2 moves 21/16 8/7

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 21/16 8/7 +0.6409
 
0.78960.15040.0046-0.21040.02450.0005 +0.7188 +0.6409
0.00070.00130.0002-0.00070.00050.0001 0.0017 0.0021
 
  Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.  
  4015 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1044686848 and quasi-random dice  
  Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16  
  Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.  
  Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  Different evaluations after 8 plies:  
  Play: 0-ply cubeful prune [expert]  
  Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  2 R 21/20 13/8 +0.6292 ( -0.0117)
 
0.77700.17580.0064-0.22300.04040.0007 +0.7065 +0.6292
0.00070.00140.0003-0.00070.00060.0001 0.0020 0.0024
 
  Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.  
  3624 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1044686848 and quasi-random dice  
  Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16  
  Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.  
  Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  Different evaluations after 8 plies:  
  Play: 0-ply cubeful prune [expert]  
  Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  3 R 21/15 +0.6139 ( -0.0270)
 
0.78640.14220.0058-0.21360.03630.0009 +0.6921 +0.6139
0.00220.00360.0008-0.00220.00160.0003 0.0052 0.0066
 
  Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.  
  432 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1044686848 and quasi-random dice  
  Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16  
  Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.  
  Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  Different evaluations after 8 plies:  
  Play: 0-ply cubeful prune [expert]  
  Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  4 R 13/8 5/4 +0.6077 ( -0.0332)
 
0.76310.18760.0084-0.23690.04530.0008 +0.6872 +0.6077
0.00230.00440.0010-0.00230.00130.0001 0.0064 0.0078
 
  Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.  
  432 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1044686848 and quasi-random dice  
  Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16  
  Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.  
  Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  Different evaluations after 8 plies:  
  Play: 0-ply cubeful prune [expert]  
  Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  5 4 21/16 5/4 +0.5905 ( -0.0504)
  0.7634 0.1743 0.0049 - 0.2366 0.0418 0.0007  
  4-ply cubeful  
  6 4 8/2 +0.5557 ( -0.0852)
  0.7405 0.1929 0.0038 - 0.2595 0.0396 0.0006  
  4-ply cubeful  
  7 4 8/3 5/4 +0.5337 ( -0.1072)
  0.7270 0.2371 0.0067 - 0.2730 0.0792 0.0014  
  4-ply cubeful  
  8 2 21/20 8/3 +0.5115 ( -0.1294)
  0.7237 0.2241 0.0064 - 0.2763 0.0763 0.0012  
  2-ply cubeful  
  9 2 7/1* +0.3013 ( -0.3396)
  0.6516 0.2349 0.0036 - 0.3484 0.1241 0.0048  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  10 0 13/7 +0.5199 ( -0.1210)
  0.7288 0.2123 0.0061 - 0.2712 0.0684 0.0010  
  0-ply cubeful [expert]  

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