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OLM 2013-08-02

Posted By: Taper_Mike
Date: Friday, 2 August 2013, at 5:27 p.m.

In Response To: OLM 2013-08-02 (Jason Lee)

At some point, either now or later, we need run our spare on the 20pt around the board to join our other forces. Otherwise we will run out of timing. Because XG has dropped a pair of blots in its board, it is clear that time is now. We can afford to leave a blot. Our board is strong enough to deter most hits XG might consider.

Running to the 14pt gives us the best chance to complete our escape. On the other hand, stopping on the 15pt creates a perfect duplication of 3 and 6, two numbers that XG could use to cover. On the 14pt, only 5 would be duplicated. With our blot on the 15pt, XG could hit and cover both inside blots only when it rolls 31. On the 14pt, XG would have 21 and 51.

This is the kind of duplication I think we should ignore. Securing our escape is more important.

R (Run) = 20/14

Mike

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