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BGonline.org Forums
RO #2
Posted By: Chuck Bower In Response To: RO #1 (actual situation) (Chuck Bower)
Date: Sunday, 30 December 2007, at 9:35 p.m.
Here I've made Blue's 5-point with one from the 8-point and one from the 6-point. Not an exhaustive rollout, but it does look like White's making of the 5-point is now a close to a tossup with the best hit.
The score (after 0 games) is: JellyFish 1, Player2 4 (match to 15 points)
Move number 21: JellyFish to play 35
Pip counts: JellyFish 147, Player2 168
Position ID: w+ZggFjGrsQACw Match ID: EYH1ARAAIAAA
• JellyFish moves 13/8 7/4*
# Ply Move Equity • 1 R 13/8 7/4* +0.5966
0.6792 0.3411 0.0402 - 0.3208 0.0937 0.0046 +0.6937 +0.5966 0.0026 0.0029 0.0019 - 0.0026 0.0016 0.0006 0.0086 0.0111 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 806 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1046231040 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] Different evaluations after 8 plies: Play: 0-ply cubeful prune [expert] Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 2 R 8/3 6/3 +0.5928 ( -0.0038)
0.6808 0.3379 0.0355 - 0.3192 0.0917 0.0041 +0.6907 +0.5928 0.0025 0.0027 0.0017 - 0.0025 0.0016 0.0005 0.0078 0.0098 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 806 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1046231040 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] Different evaluations after 8 plies: Play: 0-ply cubeful prune [expert] Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 3 2 21/16 7/4* +0.6181 ( +0.0215) 0.6809 0.3730 0.0446 - 0.3191 0.1333 0.0166 2-ply cubeful 4 2 10/5 7/4* +0.6151 ( +0.0185) 0.6740 0.3667 0.0440 - 0.3260 0.1116 0.0059 2-ply cubeful 5 2 13/8 10/7 +0.5613 ( -0.0353) 0.6756 0.3152 0.0301 - 0.3244 0.0934 0.0028 2-ply cubeful 6 2 21/16 10/7 +0.4929 ( -0.1037) 0.6610 0.3088 0.0285 - 0.3390 0.1242 0.0060 2-ply cubeful 7 0 13/10 13/8 +0.3974 ( -0.1992) 0.6241 0.2945 0.0283 - 0.3759 0.1162 0.0043 0-ply cubeful [expert] 8 0 8/3 7/4* +0.3887 ( -0.2079) 0.6183 0.3221 0.0349 - 0.3817 0.1544 0.0119 0-ply cubeful [expert] 9 0 10/7 8/3 +0.3345 ( -0.2621) 0.6116 0.2750 0.0256 - 0.3884 0.1285 0.0045 0-ply cubeful [expert] 10 0 21/13 +0.2374 ( -0.3592) 0.5844 0.2812 0.0295 - 0.4156 0.1813 0.0147 0-ply cubeful [expert]
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