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TWO RO's; first 0-ply

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Tuesday, 1 January 2008, at 3:18 p.m.

In Response To: I can post 4th roll problems, too (Chuck Bower)

I wanted to narrow the many candidates down. I trust 0-ply to do that when differences are this big. The next post is 2-ply of the two finalists.

The score (after 6 games) is: philnutting 4, c_ray 5 (match to 11 points)

Move number 4: c_ray to play 23


 ' ' '2O '5X '4X ' ' '3O

 ' '1X ' '5O1X3O '2O '4X

Pip counts: philnutting 154, c_ray 155
Position ID: 4PPgQQjgc8YBBg Match ID: cAltAUAAKAAA

• c_ray moves 13/11 6/3*

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity +0.2540(Money: +0.2357)
0.5700 0.1696 0.0040 - 0.4300 0.0764 0.0016
Cubeful equities:
2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.No double +0.3220
2.Double, pass +1.0000 +0.6780
3.Double, take +0.1298 -0.1922
Proper cube action:No double, take (22.1%)

Alert: doubtful move ( -0.119)

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 6/3*/1 +0.1632
0.52920.14540.0053-0.47080.08500.0037 +0.1258 +0.1632
0.00200.00180.0008-0.00200.00150.0006 0.0053 0.0131
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1063 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1046231040 and quasi-random dice
Play: 0-ply cubeful [expert]
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
2 R 10/8 10/7* +0.1456 ( -0.0176)
0.53450.12830.0042-0.46550.08630.0036 +0.1129 +0.1456
0.00200.00170.0004-0.00200.00150.0006 0.0053 0.0129
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1063 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1046231040 and quasi-random dice
Play: 0-ply cubeful [expert]
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
3 R 8/3* +0.1150 ( -0.0482)
0.51970.14930.0042-0.48030.08680.0053 +0.1046 +0.1150
0.00200.00180.0003-0.00200.00130.0012 0.0056 0.0130
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1062 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1046231040 and quasi-random dice
Play: 0-ply cubeful [expert]
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
4 R 13/8 +0.1055 ( -0.0577)
0.52040.10950.0033-0.47960.06570.0027 +0.0869 +0.1055
0.00170.00160.0004-0.00170.00120.0004 0.0043 0.0106
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1063 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1046231040 and quasi-random dice
Play: 0-ply cubeful [expert]
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
5 R 13/11 10/7* +0.0910 ( -0.0722)
0.52280.13140.0042-0.47720.10270.0041 +0.0744 +0.0910
0.00190.00170.0006-0.00190.00170.0005 0.0053 0.0131
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1063 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1046231040 and quasi-random dice
Play: 0-ply cubeful [expert]
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
6 R 13/10 6/4 +0.0769 ( -0.0863)
0.51280.11400.0040-0.48720.07300.0025 +0.0710 +0.0769
0.00200.00170.0005-0.00200.00130.0005 0.0052 0.0130
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1063 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1046231040 and quasi-random dice
Play: 0-ply cubeful [expert]
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
7 R 13/10 8/6 +0.0732 ( -0.0900)
0.51250.10650.0027-0.48750.06590.0028 +0.0688 +0.0732
0.00170.00150.0004-0.00170.00120.0005 0.0044 0.0110
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1062 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1046231040 and quasi-random dice
Play: 0-ply cubeful [expert]
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
8 R 13/11 6/3* +0.0447 ( -0.1185)
0.50770.13550.0052-0.49230.10100.0065 +0.0537 +0.0447
0.00210.00170.0005-0.00210.00140.0013 0.0055 0.0138
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1062 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1046231040 and quasi-random dice
Play: 0-ply cubeful [expert]
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
9 R 21/16 +0.0318 ( -0.1314)
0.51190.09640.0047-0.48810.10000.0039 +0.0182 +0.0318
0.00180.00150.0008-0.00180.00140.0006 0.0049 0.0124
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1062 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1046231040 and quasi-random dice
Play: 0-ply cubeful [expert]
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
10 0 6/1 +0.1057 ( -0.0575)
0.5192 0.1266 0.0024 - 0.4808 0.0770 0.0011
0-ply cubeful prune [expert]

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