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2-ply TCTC

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Tuesday, 1 January 2008, at 3:24 p.m.

In Response To: TWO RO's; first 0-ply (Chuck Bower)

Until I get my fastest computer fixed (bad video card?) I'm not going to be able to push this kind of rollout into the statsig column. Just call the two plays equal. The lesson comes from the 7+ plays that aren't close.

The score (after 6 games) is: philnutting 4, c_ray 5 (match to 11 points)

Move number 4: c_ray to play 23

Pip counts: philnutting 154, c_ray 155
Position ID: 4PPgQQjgc8YBBg Match ID: cAltAUAAKAAA

• c_ray moves 13/11 6/3*

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		+0.2540	(Money: +0.2357)
	0.5700 0.1696 0.0040 - 0.4300 0.0764 0.0016
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	+0.3220
2.	Double, pass	+1.0000	+0.6780
3.	Double, take	+0.1298	-0.1922
Proper cube action:		No double, take (22.1%)

Alert: doubtful move ( -0.049)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	R	10/8 10/7*	+0.1511
			0.5343 0.1405 0.0057 - 0.4657 0.0963 0.0038 +0.1152 +0.1511 0.0015 0.0018 0.0008 - 0.0015 0.0015 0.0003 0.0038 0.0095
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1656 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1046231040 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	R	6/3*/1	+0.1500 ( -0.0011)
			0.5277 0.1492 0.0046 - 0.4723 0.0902 0.0040 +0.1187 +0.1500 0.0014 0.0018 0.0003 - 0.0014 0.0013 0.0004 0.0035 0.0086
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1656 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1046231040 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.

Messages In This Thread

• I can post 4th roll problems, too
  Chuck Bower -- Monday, 31 December 2007, at 3:16 p.m.
  • I can post 4th roll problems, too
    Caryl Stephanson -- Monday, 31 December 2007, at 4:15 p.m.
  • I can post 4th roll problems, too
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Monday, 31 December 2007, at 7:47 p.m.
  • I can post 4th roll problems, too
    mamabear -- Monday, 31 December 2007, at 8:54 p.m.
  • I can post 4th roll problems, too
    neilkaz -- Monday, 31 December 2007, at 11:59 p.m.
  • I can post 4th roll problems, too
    Stick -- Tuesday, 1 January 2008, at 9:30 a.m.
  • TWO RO's; first 0-ply
    Chuck Bower -- Tuesday, 1 January 2008, at 3:18 p.m.
    • 2-ply TCTC
      Chuck Bower -- Tuesday, 1 January 2008, at 3:24 p.m.
  • FWIW, my OtB and post-mortem
    Chuck Bower -- Tuesday, 1 January 2008, at 3:38 p.m.
    • FWIW, my OtB and post-mortem
      Matt Cohn-Geier -- Tuesday, 1 January 2008, at 9:31 p.m.
      • FWIW, my OtB and post-mortem
        Stick -- Tuesday, 1 January 2008, at 10:02 p.m.
      • FWIW, my OtB and post-mortem
        Chuck Bower -- Tuesday, 1 January 2008, at 10:46 p.m.
        • FWIW, my OtB and post-mortem
          Matt Cohn-Geier -- Tuesday, 1 January 2008, at 11:05 p.m.
          • FWIW, my OtB and post-mortem
            Stick -- Tuesday, 1 January 2008, at 11:07 p.m.
  • I can post 4th roll problems, too
    Stein Kulseth -- Wednesday, 2 January 2008, at 12:38 a.m.