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OLM Mon. Jan. 28th

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Monday, 28 January 2008, at 6:49 p.m.

In Response To: OLM Mon. Jan. 28th (Stick)

Several choices. The first question is "how bad do we want to keep Stick from anchoring?" If we make the 5-point he makes it almost half the time (or at least "can make it 17/36", not that he necessarily will). How bad will we feel?

If we hit, the continuation is either the gaping wide open 24/20 or the more (immediate) structural 13/9. For my eye the latter looks much better.

I'm waffling between two axioms: the one everyone knows, "when in doubt, hit" and the more obscure "if it looks close, make the 5-point".

Behind in the race and at a matchscore we're looking to put the G-pressure on Stick, it looks like the hit wins out. At $-play, though, it's close enough in my mind that I'd probably make the 5-point. At GS and similar scores I very likely make the 5-point.

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