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Rollouts - Only 1 correct play

Posted By: Stick
Date: Saturday, 2 February 2008, at 9:53 a.m.

In Response To: OLM My 44 (Stick)

The score (after 2 games) is: Stick 13, Readers 12 (match to 15 points)

Stick	136
Readers	136
Position ID: bJvBYAjC84PBAA Match ID: MAHyAdAAYAAA

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	R	18/14(2) 13/9(2)	+0.3521
			0.6139 0.0687 0.0012 - 0.3861 0.0657 0.0010 +0.2262 +0.3521 0.0024 0.0047 0.0004 - 0.0024 0.0027 0.0004 0.0061 0.0120
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			494 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1049143167 and quasi-random dice
			Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	R	13/9(2) 8/4(2)	+0.2253 ( -0.1268)
			0.5842 0.0980 0.0060 - 0.4158 0.0623 0.0050 +0.2271 +0.2253 0.0026 0.0052 0.0030 - 0.0026 0.0030 0.0012 0.0084 0.0131
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			493 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1049143167 and quasi-random dice
			Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
•	3	R	18/14(2) 8/4(2)	+0.2253 ( -0.1268)
			0.5846 0.0872 0.0036 - 0.4154 0.0727 0.0048 +0.1829 +0.2253 0.0025 0.0056 0.0020 - 0.0025 0.0032 0.0018 0.0076 0.0122
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			493 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1049143167 and quasi-random dice
			Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	R	18/10(2)	+0.2193 ( -0.1328)
			0.5859 0.0759 0.0031 - 0.4141 0.0706 0.0043 +0.1516 +0.2193 0.0023 0.0076 0.0017 - 0.0023 0.0033 0.0019 0.0058 0.0126
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			493 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1049143167 and quasi-random dice
			Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

---

Stick (Green) vs. Patrick Gibson (White)

Money session. Score Green-White: 0-0

		Pip: 136
		Game 1 Money session Green-White: Score 0-0
		Pip: 136

#	Ply	Move	Equity
1	R	18/14(2) 13/9(2)	0.355
		0.2% 5.5% 62.5% 37.5% 5.9% 0.1%
		95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 0.246 ±0.019. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 324 games (equiv. 13653 games), played 3-ply (precise), random seed, with race database.
2	R	18/14(2) 8/4(2)	0.285 (-0.070)
		0.1% 6.9% 59.8% 40.2% 6.9% 0.1%
		95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 0.197 ±0.018. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 324 games (equiv. 15305 games), played 3-ply (precise), random seed, with race database.
3	R	13/9(2) 8/4(2)	0.275 (-0.080)
		0.3% 9.1% 58.3% 41.7% 5.9% 0.3%
		95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 0.196 ±0.016. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 324 games (equiv. 20047 games), played 3-ply (precise), random seed, with race database.

Messages In This Thread

• OLM My 44
  Stick -- Friday, 1 February 2008, at 9:12 a.m.
  • OLM My 44
    Stein Kulseth -- Friday, 1 February 2008, at 9:37 a.m.
    • OLM My 44
      Philippe Michel -- Friday, 1 February 2008, at 11:41 a.m.
  • OLM My 44
    MandM1951 -- Friday, 1 February 2008, at 2:00 p.m.
  • It is your duty to punish TMP!!
    Chuck Bower -- Friday, 1 February 2008, at 3:09 p.m.
  • OLM My 44
    neilkaz -- Friday, 1 February 2008, at 8:17 p.m.
  • OLM My 44
    Daniel Murphy -- Friday, 1 February 2008, at 8:31 p.m.
  • OLM My 44
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Friday, 1 February 2008, at 8:40 p.m.
  • Rollouts - Only 1 correct play
    Stick -- Saturday, 2 February 2008, at 9:53 a.m.