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Cube action; the bots disagree

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Wednesday, 20 February 2008, at 5:44 p.m.

In Response To: Cube action; the bots disagree (Misja)

As you know, we haven't developed a lot of confidence in bot evaluations of backgame cubes. My guess is that one bot says D+P and the other TG+P. Given the high number of gammons, the matchscore will turn some money takes into passes (and some cashes into TooGoods).

At money I would pass this as White. The reason is that as of now it's only a "3-5 backgame". With those you need to get your shots while opp still has outfield points to clear. With two on the rail and two more blots vulnerable, the chances of getting that done don't look so good. There is the possibility of making the 24-point and the "1-3 backgame" is playable (i.e. takable) even after the bearoff has begun. But I don't think that possibility is enough to make me want to take this. You're risking a lot of gammons to try for this.

Maybe it is too good at the score. OTOH, there are humans who will take this. So no matter which Woolsey Doubling Rule branch you decide to venture down, this looks like a double.

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