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Not much equity at stake here but what would you play and why?

Posted By: Michael Depreli
Date: Tuesday, 28 October 2014, at 4:01 p.m.

In Response To: Not much equity at stake here but what would you play and why? (Timothy Chow)

XGR++ dinged me (-0.005) for making the 4 point over 13/9 6/4.
A lazy rollout had 13/9 8/4 slightly ahead so I did a longer one below.
Not worth any clock time really and XGR++ hasn't lost any equity playing 13/9 6/4 only I thought XG3 could be improved on it's evaluations here as they are likely to be small.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 139
7 point match
pip: 146
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-----BD-CAb-eC---b-cBb-a--:0:0:1:42:0:0:0:7:10
Blue to play 42

1.Rollout18/4 6/4eq: -0.117
Player:
Opponent:
46.49% (G:5.29% B:0.12%)
53.51% (G:2.76% B:0.09%)
Conf.: ± 0.002 (-0.118...-0.115) - [49.8%]
Duration: 2 hours 11 minutes
2.Rollout113/9 6/4eq: -0.117 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:
46.55% (G:5.16% B:0.12%)
53.45% (G:2.65% B:0.09%)
Conf.: ± 0.002 (-0.118...-0.115) - [49.8%]
Duration: 2 hours 10 minutes
3.Rollout19/7 8/4eq: -0.119 (-0.003)
Player:
Opponent:
46.42% (G:5.35% B:0.13%)
53.58% (G:2.92% B:0.10%)
Conf.: ± 0.002 (-0.121...-0.118) - [0.2%]
Duration: 1 hour 58 minutes
4.Rollout113/7eq: -0.119 (-0.003)
Player:
Opponent:
46.50% (G:5.26% B:0.13%)
53.50% (G:2.89% B:0.11%)
Conf.: ± 0.002 (-0.121...-0.118) - [0.2%]
Duration: 2 hours 01 minute
1 42791 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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