Thanks for the responses,
Neil got it right, Casper and Mike Second best (which I was also considering)
Mick and I are making the .242 blunder...the main reason I'm posting this is because I can't figure out is why my choice is so bad compared to second best.

              
 
              
 | | White is Player 2
score: 3 pip: 91 | 7 point match | pip: 115 score: 5
Blue is Player 1 | |
XGID=--aBCCB-B---A---cb-b-Bbbc-:0:0:1:11:5:3:0:7:10 |
Blue to play 11 |
1. | XG Roller++ | 8/7(2) 4/2* | eq: +0.653 |
| Player: Opponent: | 75.09% (G:18.29% B:0.45%) 24.91% (G:6.36% B:0.07%) | |
|
2. | XG Roller++ | 8/7(2) 3/2*(2) | eq: +0.617 (-0.036) |
| Player: Opponent: | 71.42% (G:16.80% B:0.43%) 28.58% (G:4.21% B:0.08%) | |
|
3. | XG Roller++ | 21/20(2) 4/2* | eq: +0.492 (-0.161) |
| Player: Opponent: | 68.95% (G:14.90% B:0.41%) 31.05% (G:7.72% B:0.12%) | |
|
4. | XG Roller++ | 12/10 4/2* | eq: +0.433 (-0.220) |
| Player: Opponent: | 67.51% (G:16.66% B:0.38%) 32.49% (G:7.41% B:0.10%) | |
|
5. | XG Roller++ | 12/11 5/2* | eq: +0.420 (-0.233) |
| Player: Opponent: | 67.36% (G:16.36% B:0.38%) 32.64% (G:7.64% B:0.11%) | |
|
6. | XG Roller++ | 21/20(2) 3/2*(2) | eq: +0.411 (-0.242) |
| Player: Opponent: | 65.74% (G:13.52% B:0.31%) 34.26% (G:5.39% B:0.10%) | |
|
7. | XG Roller++ | 21/20(2) 8/7(2) | eq: +0.404 (-0.250) |
| Player: Opponent: | 66.17% (G:11.05% B:0.28%) 33.83% (G:3.72% B:0.04%) | |
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2