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Preliminary Rollouts

Posted By: Daniel Murphy
Date: Friday, 14 March 2008, at 5:50 p.m.

In Response To: Preliminary Rollouts (Matt Cohn-Geier)

Memorizing ELO-adjusted METs is a level of fanaticism one would only be able to find amongst chess players.

Yeah, who'd do that? (Someone must have).

Instead, either (a) do your regular ME calculation and then fudge for the opponent factor, or (b) fudge the ME numbers by a point or two first, and then do the calculation.

But I'd guess that if presented with the normal MET and asked: how do you think these numbers would change for a +200 ELO advantage, there'd be a wide tendency to overestimate the effect.

Messages In This Thread

• Position from Madison 2007
  Matt Cohn-Geier -- Thursday, 13 March 2008, at 9:54 p.m.
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    Stick -- Thursday, 13 March 2008, at 10:40 p.m.
    • Position from Madison 2007
      Matt Cohn-Geier -- Thursday, 13 March 2008, at 10:57 p.m.
      • Position from Madison 2007
        Stick -- Thursday, 13 March 2008, at 11:07 p.m.
  • Position from Madison 2007
    neilkaz -- Thursday, 13 March 2008, at 11:51 p.m.
  • Position from Madison 2007
    Daniel Murphy -- Friday, 14 March 2008, at 2:09 a.m.
  • Position from Madison 2007
    Keene -- Friday, 14 March 2008, at 5:58 a.m.
  • Preliminary Rollouts
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Friday, 14 March 2008, at 5:23 p.m.
    • Preliminary Rollouts
      Daniel Murphy -- Friday, 14 March 2008, at 5:50 p.m.
  • ROLLOUTS: Nine more
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Monday, 17 March 2008, at 1:23 a.m.