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Rollout

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Saturday, 15 March 2008, at 2:30 a.m.

In Response To: Woolsey's Law Revisited (Daniel Murphy)

Take and WAY TG.

The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 0, user 1 (match to 3 points)

Move number 3: user on roll, cube decision?

Pip counts: gnubg 162, user 66
Position ID: bNsAYDh2zxcAAA Match ID: cAlgAAAACAAA

• user doubles

Alert: wrong double ( -0.3588)!

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+1.3817	(Money: +1.2241)
Cubeful equities:
1.	No double	+1.2677
2.	Double, pass	+1.0000	-0.2677
3.	Double, take	+0.9090	-0.3588
Proper cube action:		Too good to double, take
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.7539 0.4602 0.2617 - 0.2461 0.0054 0.0002 +1.3817 +1.2677 Standard error 0.0023 0.0032 0.0085 - 0.0023 0.0004 0.0001 0.0072 0.0107 Player gnubg owns 2-cube 0.7392 0.5345 0.3612 - 0.2608 0.0058 0.0007 +1.5700 +0.9090 Standard error 0.0028 0.0064 0.0102 - 0.0028 0.0014 0.0013 0.0151 0.0224
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
910 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1056115543 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• Woolsey's Law Revisited
  Stick -- Friday, 14 March 2008, at 9:49 a.m.
  • Woolsey's Law Revisited
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Friday, 14 March 2008, at 3:11 p.m.
  • Woolsey's Law Revisited
    Daniel Murphy -- Friday, 14 March 2008, at 3:41 p.m.
    • Woolsey's Law Revisited
      neilkaz -- Friday, 14 March 2008, at 5:12 p.m.
      • Woolsey's Law Revisited
        Daniel Murphy -- Friday, 14 March 2008, at 5:59 p.m.
    • Rollout
      neilkaz -- Saturday, 15 March 2008, at 2:30 a.m.
      • Rollout
        Stick -- Saturday, 15 March 2008, at 2:33 a.m.
        • Rollout
          Daniel Murphy -- Saturday, 15 March 2008, at 4:48 a.m.
  • Woolsey's Law Revisited
    Chuck Bower -- Friday, 14 March 2008, at 7:47 p.m.
    • Woolsey's Law Revisited
      Stick -- Friday, 14 March 2008, at 7:55 p.m.
      • Woolsey's Law Revisited
        Chuck Bower -- Friday, 14 March 2008, at 8:00 p.m.
    • Woolsey's Law Revisited
      Daniel Murphy -- Friday, 14 March 2008, at 8:11 p.m.
      • Woolsey's Law Revisited
        Chuck Bower -- Friday, 14 March 2008, at 8:28 p.m.
        • Woolsey's Law Revisited
          Daniel Murphy -- Friday, 14 March 2008, at 8:37 p.m.
  • OLM Tues. March 4th
    David Rockwell -- Saturday, 15 March 2008, at 4:09 a.m.