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Long 2-ply RO of three candidates

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Monday, 31 March 2008, at 7:22 p.m.

In Response To: 2 ply Rollout (Misja)

These were the top three in my stepped rollout. I see from Misja's that other plays are also close.

The score (after 0 games) is: White 3, Blue 7 (match to 15 points)

Move number 6: Blue on roll, cube decision?


1O2X '1O2O3X '2X ' '2X2O

' '2O '2O2O '2O2X1O '3X

Pip counts: White 156, Blue 165
Position ID: hjPmGEDMZmLAIg Match ID: UQngATAAOAAA

• Blue moves 24/22 10/7

Alert: bad move ( -0.048)

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 13/11 13/10 +0.2889
0.54200.21190.0155-0.45800.09440.0043 +0.1666 +0.2889
0.00100.00140.0009-0.00100.00090.0004 0.0030 0.0045
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
4617 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1055949376 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
2 R 21/16 +0.2690 ( -0.0200)
0.54110.20020.0163-0.45890.10030.0049 +0.1485 +0.2690
0.00100.00130.0010-0.00100.00100.0005 0.0028 0.0043
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
4617 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1055949376 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
3 R 10/5 +0.2579 ( -0.0310)
0.53320.19970.0149-0.46680.09430.0035 +0.1417 +0.2579
0.00090.00130.0010-0.00090.00090.0003 0.0027 0.0037
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
4617 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1055949376 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
4 3 21/18 10/8 +0.2020 ( -0.0869)
0.5278 0.1849 0.0060 - 0.4722 0.1017 0.0031
3-ply cubeful prune [grandmaster]
5 2 24/22 13/10 +0.2621 ( -0.0268)
0.5451 0.2068 0.0089 - 0.4549 0.0965 0.0035
2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
• 6 2 24/22 10/7 +0.2412 ( -0.0477)
0.5381 0.2020 0.0078 - 0.4619 0.0978 0.0035
2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
7 2 24/21 10/8 +0.2402 ( -0.0487)
0.5342 0.1892 0.0062 - 0.4658 0.0845 0.0023
2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
8 2 24/22 21/18 +0.2336 ( -0.0554)
0.5382 0.1990 0.0083 - 0.4618 0.1028 0.0039
2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
9 2 21/18 20/18 +0.2180 ( -0.0710)
0.5355 0.2027 0.0060 - 0.4645 0.1120 0.0045
2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
10 2 8/6 8/5 +0.1907 ( -0.0982)
0.5180 0.2058 0.0071 - 0.4820 0.1032 0.0037
2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

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