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OTB & RO

Posted By: John O'Hagan
Date: Wednesday, 16 September 2015, at 2:08 a.m.

In Response To: 54S-42P-21S-63 (John O'Hagan)

I didn't even consider the best play OTB and ended up choosing to run 24/15. Breaking the 8-point to hit loose is usually wrong so I ruled that out and looked for something else. K looks clear now since 4 numbers dance, 11 more enter without hitting, and if the oppt rolls a 2(5) you might be able to enter and cover the 5(2). The RO says it's no contest. Anything but K is a big mistake.

	is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 155 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 161 score: 0 is Player 1
XGID=--a-BaD-B---cEa--d-e----B-:0:0:1:63:0:0:3:0:10
to play 63

1.	Rollout1	8/5* 8/2*	eq: +0.136
	Player: Opponent: 52.40% (G:19.44% B:0.96%) 47.60% (G:14.59% B:1.01%) Conf.: ± 0.015 (+0.121...+0.152) - [100.0%] Duration: 20 minutes 04 seconds
2.	Rollout1	24/15	eq: +0.034 (-0.103)
	Player: Opponent: 50.95% (G:12.19% B:0.56%) 49.05% (G:12.58% B:0.48%) Conf.: ± 0.013 (+0.020...+0.047) - [0.0%] Duration: 21 minutes 07 seconds
3.	Rollout1	13/7 8/5*	eq: 0.000 (-0.137)
	Player: Opponent: 49.77% (G:16.74% B:0.81%) 50.23% (G:16.45% B:1.38%) Conf.: ± 0.020 (-0.020...+0.020) - [0.0%] Duration: 21 minutes 33 seconds
4.	Rollout1	24/21 13/7	eq: -0.011 (-0.147)
	Player: Opponent: 49.58% (G:13.56% B:0.65%) 50.42% (G:13.03% B:0.63%) Conf.: ± 0.016 (-0.027...+0.005) - [0.0%] Duration: 20 minutes 47 seconds
5.	Rollout1	13/4	eq: -0.052 (-0.189)
	Player: Opponent: 48.51% (G:14.58% B:0.49%) 51.49% (G:13.70% B:0.72%) Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.068...-0.037) - [0.0%] Duration: 18 minutes 34 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.00

Messages In This Thread

• 54S-42P-21S-63
  John O'Hagan -- Monday, 14 September 2015, at 4:21 a.m.
  • 54S-42P-21S-63
    Stick -- Monday, 14 September 2015, at 4:24 a.m.
    • 54S-42P-21S-63
      neilkaz -- Monday, 14 September 2015, at 7:52 p.m.
  • 54S-42P-21S-63
    Karol Szczerek -- Monday, 14 September 2015, at 4:47 a.m.
  • 54S-42P-21S-63
    RobertFontaine -- Monday, 14 September 2015, at 5:01 a.m.
  • 54S-42P-21S-63
    Chase -- Monday, 14 September 2015, at 6:29 a.m.
  • 54S-42P-21S-63
    Taper_Mike -- Monday, 14 September 2015, at 7:33 p.m.
  • 54S-42P-21S-63 - Variant
    Stick -- Tuesday, 15 September 2015, at 4:13 a.m.
    • 54S-42P-21S-63 - Variant
      Taper_Mike -- Tuesday, 15 September 2015, at 9:16 p.m.
    • 32S-43H-64K-31-55O-51U-C-43 and variant -- ROLLOUTS
      Nack Ballard -- Thursday, 24 September 2015, at 12:32 a.m.
      • 32S-43H-64K-31-55O-51U-C-43 – No Jacoby, No Beavers – 3-ply XG2 Rollout
        Taper_Mike -- Thursday, 24 September 2015, at 3:13 a.m.
  • OTB & RO
    John O'Hagan -- Wednesday, 16 September 2015, at 2:08 a.m.
    • OTB & RO
      neilkaz -- Wednesday, 16 September 2015, at 2:22 a.m.
    • Quiz -- Four Problems
      Nack Ballard -- Wednesday, 16 September 2015, at 3:59 a.m.